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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. qg_omega
  2. qg_omega
    Old data before the GFS sht the bed
  3. qg_omega
    CMC and Euro FTW
  4. qg_omega
    Not seeing any cold, she’s gone
  5. qg_omega
    Models have done a 180 on the cold, not a good sign for the winter
  6. qg_omega
    One day before another cutter
  7. qg_omega
    Cold is completely gone, same old pattern. GFS should never be used
  8. qg_omega
    Euro is very warm next week
  9. qg_omega
    Cold after thanksgiving is fleeting
  10. qg_omega
    Updated
  11. qg_omega
  12. qg_omega
    This won’t age well
  13. qg_omega
    Nice cutter
  14. qg_omega
    Missing a good phasing opportunity this weekend
  15. qg_omega
    Another warm thanksgiving on the models
  16. qg_omega
    Fantasy, use ensembles good agreement on warmth
  17. qg_omega
    Looks warm for thanksgiving
  18. qg_omega
  19. qg_omega
    Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 52% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.8° (0.2° below normal). Time will tell but I have a hard time seeing how November doesn’t finish at least 1 degree above normal if not more
  20. qg_omega
    Sleeting
  21. qg_omega
    fair, I will take the over on +3 throughout the Northeast
  22. qg_omega
    What happened to the lack of El Niño forcing everyone was harping on?
  23. qg_omega
    Well above normal looks likely for December
  24. qg_omega
    Well above normal upcoming
  25. qg_omega
    Winter starts December 1st
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