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vwgrrc

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  1. vwgrrc
    Starting to feel there's a chance the outcome could be even worst than forecasted today. Most of the short range models tonight shows little to nothing for the state as of midnight. But in reality, West TX is already seeing FR or sleet at this point. Probably gonna be a real mess in DFW tomorrow.
  2. vwgrrc
    I'm actually a bit shocked they issued the warning at this point given the latest HRRR isn't that aggressive for tomorrow and the amount is *only* up to 0.25. IMO December 2013 was much worse.
  3. vwgrrc
    can you elaborate pls?
  4. vwgrrc
    really started to get concerned for a power outage at this rate.
  5. vwgrrc
    0z NAM 3K shows even more ice for Dallas Ct. wth...!
  6. vwgrrc
    On the flip side, 0z HRRR seems lowered the amount of ice in Dfw by a lot. At least for tomorrow! I find it hard to understand why models are so struggling with this at close range.
  7. vwgrrc
    Agree. Monday is supposed to be light. 18z RDPS is showing even more FR for the metro now. I'm not familiar with this model but that's concerning if other 18z come in similarly.
  8. vwgrrc
    true. but i wonder if the colder than forecasted temp will mean more sleet than FR for DFW, which is a better outcome.
  9. vwgrrc
    Also I was too focus on Tuesday the entire time and just now realized 0z NAM has FR even on Thursday?? That's insane.
  10. vwgrrc
    0z HRRR almost 2x the FR amount for DFW. This one can be a storm goes down the history. On the bright side, 0z NAM is not joining that bandwagon. It's much drier than HRRR for the metro. But I'm not sure how's HRRR compared to NAM in set up like this.
  11. vwgrrc
    definitely jugged my memory on that one. but i think the forecasted ice accu was a lot higher back then. this one shouldn't be too bad!
  12. vwgrrc
    Feb 1st starting to look a bit interesting for NTX again. GFS is joining CMC today but still look a bit too warm. Plenty of time left for changes of course! Edit 0z 1/27 - Canadian is really ramping up for next week and now shows NTX basically under ice for two straight days. The 2m temps for most of that period has a significant divergence (15-20F) between CMC and GFS, which makes all the difference in this case. I don't recall I ever seen that divergence at this range.
  13. vwgrrc
    0Z GFS just hinted some snow late Thursday to Friday for DFW. I mean we're about 5 days out. Still time for some interesting twists.
  14. vwgrrc
    Yes I should clarify it's far North Dallas, Tollway/PGBT area. Now back to overcast
  15. vwgrrc
    Sun is out in N. Dallas area.
  16. vwgrrc
    Just finish reading (thanks for sharing!), I'm going to charge my power banks now! https://www.weather.gov/fwd/highwind07
  17. vwgrrc
    That sounds like some powerline issues if it occurs in DFW...
  18. vwgrrc
    So mostly straight wind and hail?
  19. vwgrrc
    Almost full blast around Denton/Colin Ct. This is a bit concerning at least.
  20. vwgrrc
    S Denton Ct is firing up now. Seems a bit west then HRRR forecasted.
  21. vwgrrc
    I would doubt if we see that much based how things go now. I'm in S Denton Ct. It seems the current temp is just a bit warmer than they expected, which will make a large difference in this case. Edit: Raining pretty hard now. 1C outside. I consider myself to be pretty far north of I-20 here
  22. vwgrrc
    Yes. Sleeting hard here in Denton Ct. A bit unexpected. Friday doesn't look very promising at this point. GFS seems like the only model saying there will be any meaningful snow.
  23. vwgrrc
    Yes they provided that update about an hour ago. I don't see where they mention amounts trending down for N TX. But I tend to agree with you at this point. With DFW metro still sitting very quiet at this point, I doubt if there's enough time to even reach the warning criteria like they expected earlier. The second wave was expected to get here by early evening but it didn't.
  24. vwgrrc
    That's something to watch out for. I don't think the models have anything for the metro until later this afternoon. This sounds really early. Sent from my SM-G991U1 using Tapatalk
  25. vwgrrc
    FWIW, 18z NAM is indeed trending drier than previous runs.
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