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vwgrrc

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  1. vwgrrc
    The latest AFD is also discussing it. But that looks very light with little impact at this point...
  2. vwgrrc
    GFS seems having trouble handling the system late next week. Also great variation between models/ensembles. Don't remember when was the last time I saw this chao... .
  3. vwgrrc
    You might be right. The latest GFS went crazy for N TX through Jan 3rd. It's just one run at this time, but could be indicating something.
  4. vwgrrc
    This would be similar to the 0z GFS last night, which is gone from GFS today. So...
  5. vwgrrc
    After several days of consistency, kind of hard to believe the 18z GFS back off the cold front and just give the metro plain rain...
  6. vwgrrc
    Yes. But still, 7 days to go. I wouldn't get too concern or excited about that until probably Monday to Tuesday. If the model tells the same by then, that's something serious!
  7. vwgrrc
    Which means no wintry precip for North TX, right?
  8. vwgrrc
    Agree on the consistency (except for 0z last night). Confidence is getting higher for some wintry wx in NTX. But I think there's a trend of the freezing rain/sleet band shifting north with the latest 12z showing the Metro is right on the edge. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Metro "dodge" the event eventually.
  9. vwgrrc
    The 18z gives DFW 30+ hours of freezing rain/sleet! I'll only believe it when I see it.
  10. vwgrrc
    Looks like DFW gonna have an icy Christmas per the latest GFS run...
  11. vwgrrc
    Oh mine... What exact time frame will that fall for the metropolex？ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  12. vwgrrc
    Well, that looks a bit too warm for now to get that happens for the metro. With that being said, this might be the only time I do not wish it verifies because I will be flying back to DFW on Saturday night... But we're 6 days out. Things may change
  13. vwgrrc
    Just got back from a 2 hour drive home, which normally takes 20 minutes...
  14. vwgrrc
    I think we can almost call this a "bust". It is virtually blizzard condition here in Downtown Dallas.
  15. vwgrrc
    Snow on road in Downtown Dallas. This is really a lot heavier than foretasted!
  16. vwgrrc
    Agree. 18z does look changing. But I wonder if this gonna be a good trend? Is still there enough time (4 dayish) for STJ to form for this area?
  17. vwgrrc
    Probably not for TX. Looks like any precipitation should be very light at this time...
  18. vwgrrc
    Well, unfortunately, this happens a lot during this time of the year. We should probably really not looking at what model says about precipitation outside 3 days. NWS AFD today also highlighted the uncertainty.
  19. vwgrrc
    I thought the McFarland Signature was what contributes to the Dec 2013 dfw ice storm? But maybe I was wrong.
  20. vwgrrc
    Interesting. The 12z GFS seems a lot drier for dfw. I thought it's going to join Euro...
  21. vwgrrc
    The last couple runs seem to be warmer for dfw metro, hope that's not a trend!
  22. vwgrrc
    Well, if it's so different from the last run of Euro and GFS, I guess it's more likely to be a hiccup? I don't think Euro normally catch changes "earlier" than GFS.
  23. vwgrrc
    SE forum is talking about it. Sounds like too warm...
  24. vwgrrc
    busted? Please do tell Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  25. vwgrrc
    I wonder if this only counts snow or includes ice. 12z shows dfw with a good amount of time under ice next Thursday. If that turns out to be what happened, this might be a replay of December 7 2013, probably worse with snow on top of ice. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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