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vwgrrc

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Everything posted by vwgrrc

  1. a good old cold rain event of course...
  2. Thanks. But would that be a trustworthy solution at this point? 0z NAM seems showing virtually all snow for the metro.
  3. Anyone know if there's a reason that HRRR depicting more rain than snow for DFW in the last few runs? Hope that's not the case!
  4. Both GFS and NAM 12z are showing the snow band skipping my area (Denton/Collin Ct). Not an expert here. But wish that's NOT the case for sure!
  5. AND the damage caused by that tornado still hasn't been fixed. The brick wall on DNT and Royal still have that big open part! Not to mention damages within the community.
  6. well, i guess a positive outcome from this COVID thing is that a hail storm would potentially cause less damages across DFW now given there're much less business activities overall...
  7. Looks like it will be close. Precipitation ends around dusk right before the temp drop to freezing, of course
  8. It's possible. But I personally feel there's not enough moisture to work with the cold. Maybe this is too far to make that call still?
  9. It looks like the next weekend has some potential for NTX. But as always, the model runs are everywhere at this point.
  10. Down to 32 now here in Irving. Seems a bit colder than expected? But NAM still says meh... Sent from my MHA-AL00 using Tapatalk
  11. The batch to the west of FW is fading. Feels like DFW gonna get shafted again...
  12. Thanks Dave. Never heard of that. But even there is flash freeze, those ice spot should evaporate pretty soon, right?
  13. He's saying sleet. I think the radar is show all snow for the metro now.
  14. Right. HRRR seems keep pushing the radar blossom later and later. Edit: Back to sleet in Irving. I think overall the radar looks good and start leaning towards HRRR.
  15. Freezing rain/rain falling hard here in Irving, about 10 miles east of the DFW airport. I think the radar now looks more like HRRR than NAM.
  16. Radar at 5PM seems showing less precip than HRRR predicted. Not a very good sign.
  17. I have a feeling that NWS is bit conservative by saying that HRRR is too wet (or maybe they ignore the trend?). But if the this solution pans out, it gonna be a major ice event that includes DFW.
  18. NWS just said they believe the HRRR(X) is a too wet while they favored the WRF and NAM's drier solutions. I always thought HRRR is very good at this range...
  19. And even more moisture on the latest 18. It's leaning toward the HRRRX solution.
  20. Agree. You can see this change now on HRRR. More snow linger around NTX after the front pushed into Central TX. What concerns me is the HRRRX solution has a lot more ice before the transition to snow! But I'm not familiar with that model. No idea why it's so different from HRRR.
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