vwgrrc

The Wednesday storm will probably give NTX some real power issue looks like

Close to 1/2 inch on the ground, Plano/The Colony area. The real show will be this afternoon looks like

That 84hr image looks like a disaster for DFW. Reminds me the Dec'13 cobblestone ice storm. Massive power outage if that verifies! What worries me even more is GFS is basically showing a same picture with CMC not too far off

This is probably why Steve keeps calling the mid-week system more significant on his FB page today. He normally doesn't use any strong word for thing this far out... https://www.facebook.com/wfaa.steve.mccauley

0z is slightly less crazy. but still a lot!

I doubt they would miss it that badly at this rage. Meanwhile, 18z ICON and NAM remain bullish for DFW

Thanks goodness someone distracted us from "the hold"

Would you mind sharing which model(s) are you seeing this happening? I remember both GFS and NAM 12z remain fairly strong for DFW region Edit: i guess i see what you mean. RGEM is showing the snow ends for DFW late Sunday instead of Monday morning then it's previously depicting? I feel that remain to be verified by other models. At the end of the day, 2+ inches for DFW is really really good given how things went in the past 5 years!

Same here in SE Denton Ct. Forecasted to be a high of 2C and we're still sitting at -5C now. No way we can reach that high. This has been the case for the last several days. I wonder how this cold was so underestimated...

Have a feeling 0z batch going to be a somewhat encouraging cycle for North TX. ICON is bringing back more snow with a longer period. Short term models are depicting the new development AFD was talking about this afternoon. NAM is actually showing 2+ inches for DFW even before Sunday, which sounds a little crazy to me Friday Night through Saturday... An active weather pattern will be in place as we begin the weekend across North and Central Texas. An approaching upper level shortwave will be making its way through the region, tracking from West Texas down toward the Hill Country. Given the shallow cold airmass, this shortwave will induce strong isentropic ascent, leading to the development of drizzle early Saturday morning. With surface temperatures well below freezing, any drizzle will instantly freeze upon contact, creating a thin coating of ice on ANY surface. In additional the the drizzle potential, guidance is beginning to trend toward a localized threat for a batch of sleet or snow mainly west of I-35 Saturday afternoon. Given this is a fairly new development, we`ll continue to watch this potential as it could cause additional travel hazards as we go into Saturday night.

I wonder if DFW would have any trouble with power outage this time? It was very bad in Dec 2013 ice storm, but not too surprised given that was almost pure freezing rain. This time is all snow, which shouldn't be an issue for most power lines. Any thought?

Looks like 18z ICON is bringing back a little bit more snow for DFW area while NAM32 is saying What snow? Need GFS to pick a side...

12z GFS keeps the amount on the lesser side for DFW. I can only hope it doesn't pull back more at this point

DFW snow shield is no joke

I feel at least the timing (getting earlier) is a trend from the previous 4 runs unfortunately!

both 0z GFS and ICON are showing the Monday system to come & end quite a bit earlier than previous 4 runs. Now make that almost a Sunday event. Total snow amount also pulls back. This worries me a little

This

I personally don't see this actually. I mean my standard of major ice event would be Dec 2013. I'm not seeing that happen tonight at least for DFW. Thought?

0z GFS and CMC are also showing a big snow day on the 15th. I wonder how the metro could screw this on up given it's still 5 days out

Same here in S Denton. I feel the model might underestimated the cold a little bit. I won't be too surprised if we end up with snow/ice Thursday morning.

True~ but I'm actually more interested in the frozen precip it shows Sun/Mon timeframe at this point

not an expert. but im seeing the back end of the snow still far into central tx?

interesting. i should be really close to you. still heavy snow.

it snows all the way north into OK. Seems like a model bust, in a good way

SE Denton close to Collin county snowing heavily. Starting to see accumulation on roof