Blizzard of 93

Hopefully we are tracking an active winter weather threat before Turkey Day this year.

Here is the + PNA toward mid month on today’s GEFS & EPS.

The pattern should turn colder once again as we head toward mid month and beyond. The telleconnections look to be favorable to deliver cold air to the east thanks to a -EPO and +PNA. Here is the -EPO towards mid month on the GEFS & EPS today.

A few jets must have taken off this hour, because MDT actually went back up to 40 as of 9 pm…

MDT is already down to 39 as of 8pm. Hopefully tonight the freezing barrier is broken for the first time this season.

I’m seeing forecast highs in the low 60’s per CTP during the middle of next week. The average high for today’s date is 59 at MDT. So this week we are below normal and next week slightly above. These are all very seasonal temps for early November.

Thick frost as well here this morning!

The heat is now on at my house as well since yesterday. We made it to November 1st this year!

These seasonal forecasts by pro mets & weather services are very well researched and informative. Their accuracy tends to not end up being too reliable. We have seen forecasts in previous years when an epic season is forecast and it turns out to be subpar. We have also seen forecasts for a below average snow season turn out to be a good winter. I enjoy reading these forecasts every year, but we always need to of course see how the season unfolds.

Bring it!

@Itstrainingtime Nice Sixers win tonight especially with Embiid & Harris not playing this evening. 7 players scored double figure points.

We are at least stepping down towards Winter.

It’s go time for me now that snow potentials are back in the forecast!

Here are some comments about later this week from CTP’s discussion this morning. Thursday morning may be the coldest so far with many places across the western and northern mountains seeing mid-upper 20s with lower 30s in the lower Susq Valley. With another disturbance bringing a chance of some showers, some areas could see snow before temperatures warm during the day. Wide range of model solutions toward the end of the week leading to greatly different weather possibilities. .

Here is what CTP has for my forecast. Friday Night A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

They closed it out tonight! Great win! Hope you had a great time down there!

I am with you on this! We always set November 1st as the goal to wait to turn on the heat. Most years we cave in October sometime. It’s been chilly a few times this past week, but I think we can make it for 2 more days!

The funny part about this map is that it jackpots Tamaqua & Pillow, the home of 2 of our warm weather fans!

This is the map for Friday evening. Strong signal at this range for an ensemble.

Now that some of you are now awake this fine Saturday morning…I present the 0z Euro Control run for the snow chance next weekend! This will make the weekend coffee taste even better…for most of us anyway!

Lol, you had 2 extra months of Summer this year!

Good old trusty weather Apps…

The 0z EPS agrees with the Op and has a strong signal at this range for a coastal low to develop off of the Mid Atlantic coast.

The 0z Euro said that some of us west and north of Harrisburg could see some snow next Saturday with a system coming from the south that heads to the coast.

The fourth quarter closer problem is not going to go away with the current roster. They made the wrong decision 2 years ago to keep Tobias Harris and then trade Jimmy Butler. This was done to appease Simmons and keep Brett Brown. They had the closer on the roster in Jimmy Butler and then traded him away! There is no way that they would have lost to the Hawks with Jimmy on the roster. Now, the Sixers need to figure out how to change the roster again to get another 4th quarter closer to help Embiid. Hopefully the Sixers are fired up for this Hawks game tonight in order to get some little revenge for the playoff melt down from last year!