The 6z GEFS snow map through day 16 is the best widespread look so far in this early season with the 2 inch snow line getting well into Virginia.
I just use these long range ensemble snow maps as an indicator for pattern potential.
We have come a very long way with cutting into the + departure over the last 10 days thanks to the recent cold pattern.
It will be tough to bring it down much more with the forecast temperatures through the end of the month.