CT Valley Snowman

20 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Peak foliage conditions here in Enfield and the surrounding areas. A brief break in the overcast allowed me to get this shot in of Whites Pond in Granby:

 

Some improvement but still pretty lousy overall. 

My whole point in bringing that up was that this next upcoming storm system as currently modeled does not look to have nearly the same supply of fresh cold air down here in Southern New England,  it's going to take a really phased bomb to get it done and the models have been backing away from that scenario and bringing the upper level support swinging through with a separate storm after the initial coastal.  We'll see how it all plays out but you would have to favor the mountains up north for anything significant right now  

49 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Whoa...take it easy. Nobody was howling or angry at all!!  Geez.  

 

in my town there was no snow prior.  And while I had the high temp the day before wrong(sorry my mistake), it was about 50 degrees on that Friday in my location...which hardly screams snow here.  And with some sunshine it felt quite mild.  Nothing that would make anybody think snow was on the way..not here anyway. Farther north and in higher elevated spots you had a precursor..but not here in central CT.  So that’s where I was coming from. 

And then the temp dropped overnight and kept dropping.  

Was forecast to rain here for the whole day til late afternoon..then change to snow gradually toward evening.  As we know that was very wrong...and it started as snow from the start. 

 

My girlfriend and family...and the general public believed we’d have no, or very little snow as late as that early morning...so it was a huge surprise for most in this area when it started out as snow...and went nuts.  

 

Didnt mean to anger you Valley...and I too remember what happened here in my area.  Different areas..different things.

 

 

No offense taken and I'm sorry if I offended you.  Your view tends to represent what much of the public would have thought about the storm, and the storm did overperform but there were also some pretty clear meteorological signs if you were following the model data and people like Ryan Hanrahan closely.  You were definitely in a bit more of a marginal area being further south but I'm pretty sure you were in a winter storm watch the day before and upgraded to a warning and projected to get 3 to 6 in from the National Weather Service, although I would have to look back at the data.  It was pretty clear that the air mass was very anomalous for that time of year, even if the sun made it feel mild just prior to the storm the atmosphere temperatures were already very cold and there was a strong high-pressure anchored in place and the predecessor snowfall gave a clue as to how cold the atmosphere was in the region even if snow didn't fall in your backyard.  The end results did surprise almost everyone with the amount of damage and destruction but the models and the atmospheric pattern were giving us clues in advance.    Some forecasters were clearly too conservative as well.  

Just now, CoastalWx said:

So angry.

Just a bit annoyed. I tend to remember the most exciting weather events I'm my lifetime.   We good.  Let the wolf howl and ice, ice baby. 

Man it was 7 years ago and these guys had it ass backwards.  There was more cold before the storm than afterwards and it did not just drop on our doorstep if you were actually following the weather modeling or weather forums, blogs. 

6 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

I do not remember any predecessor snowfall, or cold weather before the bomb in October of 2011??  I remember it being quite mild the days before the storm...the day before(Friday) was over 60 if memory serves me right...no??

The days following the storm were very cold if that’s what you’re meaning??  

There was a cold front 

6 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

I do not remember any predecessor snowfall, or cold weather before the bomb in October of 2011??  I remember it being quite mild the days before the storm...the day before(Friday) was over 60 if memory serves me right...no??

The days following the storm were very cold if that’s what you’re meaning??  

There was a cold front passage with a swath of lighter snows in parts of CT but more importantly a deep cold air mass in place just prior to snowtober, it was not a marginal or retreating high pressure. we were locked in.  You guys need to look stuff up.  In general the event was highly unexpected but when we got closer it was very clear there was some impressive cold coming in just before the storm.  

It's not like 2011 when we laid the carpet with a predecessor snowfall and some frigid weather.  You probably want to be way in and way up for this one but it's worth monitoring, perhaps first flakes at the beginning or a bit of mixed junk for interior SNE at the start but way too early to iron out specifics until we get a better handle on storm track/intensity/high placement and strength and the air mass/temp profile we're looking at.  No thanks on another Snowtober event,  14 inches of cement on almost fully leafed trees can make for a very, very long week with a young family.  I'll take a nice coating or slushy inch of snowliage and be very content with that. 

Low of 27.2.,  28.2 currently. Hard freeze in the books as we wait on the first flakes.

Hanging out near 30 for the past hour. 

Already 35 and calm.  I'll take the under on my 30 point and click and go with 26.  

Maybe we are waiting for that color burst down here but in comparison to our better years things are  a bit dull,  brightest early trees went by and the next wave has lacked vibrance but there is still quite a bit of green so  its certainly not a completely done deal here yet.

7 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

32.4F here, just above freezing.

 

Nice.  Looks like my low was 33.4.  Frost was heavier than Sunday.  

Somewhat frosty 33.8 here 

2 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Any Massachusetts residents have good foliage conditions?

I was not overly impressed on the Mass Pike between Worcester and Chicopee this weekend, and the foliage seems pretty meh around here so far after some nice waves of vibrance with the early turning Maples.

Light frost on colder surfaces at 34.  

18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

The usual warm spots east of HFD will try to tickle 80 one last time tomorrow....

Yep.  I hit 80 today.  Going for 82 or so here in Furnaceville USA.

No posters in the NE Forum from that town and its basically NYC, that being said it should have worthy of at least a couple of posts being that it was a TOR in the SW corner of the region. 

Pretty meh here north of the warmfront, 58 all afternoon and heavy rain with a few decent rumbles/flashes during the evening commute.  Nearly a 20 degree temp drop from when I left  BDR area at 77 degrees before the rain moved in.  

Stay strong Ginx.  Wishing you a full and successful recovery.  

4 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

Phone is blowing up with alerts now... was the rotation radar indicated or someone report it?

Alerts are for flash flooding.  No longer severe warned.

Line seems to be sh*ttng the bed west of here as is usually the case by this point in the evening.  At least we'll get more rain to keep everything damp and moldy.  

First 50's high of the season at 59 here in the valley.  We take.  52 currently. 

18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

1.39 here today..

Yeah definitely a bit more tempered here as opposed to north of the pike.  Still another good drink in the late stages of our summer of pour.  

Cat 4 now.  Bombs away.

Getting closer.  Down to the final 10.