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Posts posted by CT Valley Snowman
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sorry it's probably me that's melting down the most, I just need to take a step back and see how it unfolds
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honestly I wouldn't be shocked if it setup right on the valley floor, subsidence downsloping and shadowing FTL
call me Debby downer but I've seen it too many times in this area
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that sucker hole on the NAM better be wrong
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This was always a central and eastern SNE special.
not really,the euro is an all of southern New England special. 2 inches of QPF right to the New York border.
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the nam needs to hold ground and the other models need to tick slightly west or its going to turn into a central and eastern New England special.
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is anyone concerned that it still corrected somewhat northeast and that the trend may continue?not to be a Debbie Downer it looks like an absolutely beautiful run I just want to make sure it can hold.
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anywhere between the berks and kevin will get in the good band euro tics east other models come west a bit
and I really hope you're right, RGEM and GFS do not look like they want to push west at all.
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it looks like there was another dual low pressure on the
Gem at hour 24, without an nice clean and early enough capture ,Western New England could be toast.
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honest assessment Mets please, how concerned should we be from the Connecticut River Valley points west?
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Wow Western New England is really up in the air right now!!!
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I'm just starting to familiarize myself with sref, at what time does the next set come out?
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Sounds good to me. Everyone is going to get smoked and elevation there is good. The deformation band is still an unsettled matter in my mind but that may be a nowcast situation.
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http://i1163.photobucket.com/albums/q560/
TollandKev/Mobile%20Uploads/2015-01/AA1E21B9-CA04-446B-BBA5-9264EFA25ABF_zpsjk8yism8.png[/
img]
Taunton Disco talks about how banding can pivot further west in intense cyclones. It could be right but I think it could tick west if that same track holds.
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Yeah, but their forecast maps have to be plastered all over social media by now.
starting at 12 to 24 would have been better than 20-30 down there.
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Wondering if we converge on a Feb 2006 type placement on the Deform band?
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taking a closer look at the RGEM , that deformation banding was definitely a little heavier and a tic west of the previous run. The overall track looks almost identical.
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Lock it in boys. Time for the hammer.
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GFS ticks NW. Beautiful run.
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Gfs looks like its a tick NW at 24 and pounding.
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Thundersnow looks like a decent bet under the heaviest banding.
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Cant sleep much, way too amped. Just a bit if dozing off and a touch of R.E.M.
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Very close to that sucker hole over Tolland County here. Makes me nervous. Someone is going to get dry slotted.
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Euro ensembles looked locked and loaded. Control run almost mirrors the OP, maybe a touch more snow.
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I honestly think Euro will tick east, the rest of the guidance will tick west again and we will have our final solution. I hope I'm right
Forecast/storm discussions and part II Manitoba Mauler
in New England
Posted
any more details on the rgem?