WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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Ok Pickles. Who knows what the Euro will show in 90 minutes? Or what we see tomorrow and tomorrow night? A lot of modeling has had the same 9-12” amounts here for many runs, and on many different models. Maybe it changes? I don’t know. -
I think that’s more of an issue if we’re looking for more than 10-12”. 8-12” is what NWS has here, and as is that’s doable with what modeling seems to be showing currently/tonight. For something ultimately upper tier..then we’d need earlier/and more shortwave interaction, and more of an intense system.
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Completely Agreed.
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That’s a crushing everywhere imo…thanks for posting.
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Figured that. The AEMATT is rampant lol.
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I’m thrilled with GFS…I was just questioning Jerry’s adjective of “it’s a crushing” is all..no need for weenies lol.
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Is it better than the GFS?
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That’s a great storm right there…I’m very happy with 8-12”.
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A caution flag if it’s not worth a crap with this system? That doesn’t make a whole lot of sense Wiz…
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At the start sure, as it goes on the snow dries out as temps drop.
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I’m thinking he meant closer to the shore…
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Neither do I. It won’t be that wet here either. Closer to the shore sure…not significantly inland it won’t be.
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Nah…it’ll powder up as we head into the overnight and into the morning it seems. No paste for us.
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I apologize, I was meaning warnings. I reread your post and you said Watch…I’m not sure if there was ever a Watch issued for that weak system last winter, that gave me 5-6”? So What an abysmal season last year…just sickening.
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I had one storm here that dropped 5-6” last year…I don’t believe there was a Warning for that, but an advisory. 12.3” on the season last year lol.
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I was thinking that too. But I’m great with that.
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Been at a foot(give it take an inch or so) on every piece of guidance for a while. I’m so good with that. Let’s do it and enjoy.
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Take that in a second.
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That’s a lot of precip on the euro for alot of this subforum. Gorgeous here for CT folks and out east too. Great run.
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Well, of the two models(GFS and CMC),if I had to choose which one showed a monster solution at 48 hrs out, it would be the GFS over the Canadian every time. Certainly doesn’t mean it’s right. But it’s a much better model than the CMC. So there’s that. If the former King comes along in a few minutes, and does something similar to the GFS, then we might be heading towards something major. If there are a ton of new posts when I check back at 1:45, that will be a very good sign.
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General ideas is all I think of them as.
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You guys know how I feel about 18z…get ready for a fluke run… in either direction imo. I have to say though, that on most all the modeling, we’ve been looking pretty solid here. Hope that is the case.
