WinterWolf

Here we go…

Had better dynamics though.

Euro came East at 18z…And had some decent dynamics.

So why is that not gonna happen? It makes the most sense with what we have on the field. Strong West based -NAO, nice high pressure north of Maine, decent airmass..makes more sense to be quite honest.

I’ll take my 8+ on the GFS. Thanks.

Well can we trust anything at this point? It’s making the most sense currently with all the other tele’s lined up. It makes synoptic sense.

18z Euro headed towards the GFS though. Where’s it going at 0z?

It certainly has the time to. Is it a case of just the 18z wonky shit though? I hope not.

Good post. But if one has some common sense regarding weather, one should know that just because somebody expects something, that doesn’t mean that the weather will cooperate at all, in either direction. The supposed relaxation could come at the end of January(which in that case gives the nervous folks 6 weeks lol). I mean people get themselves all worked up as if any of them can know what is actually gonna happen. It’s almost ridiculous. Great patterns don’t guarantee anything. They just increase your odds some of not striking out…But you still can and do some times.

But that’s weather pal. No guarantees..ever. But that’s what keeps your ass coming back for more, don’t it? Grow up a bit, and stop looking for blizzards every run…and maybe that’s when one “may” show up,

Very Well Said. And a favorable pattern it looks to be. So let’s Roll away. The angst in here from some is disturbing to say the least.

Oh we get ya pal. Appreciate the explanations and graphics. Thanks a bunch.

Do you think it(the NAM) has the better idea on the airmass Will? I mean that high to the north is in a good spot, gonna be funneling in the cold Thursday night…I mean it makes sense..no?

Your explanations are great, as are Will’s and Scott’s. Puts things into perspective. You got trolls(QgOmega and a few others) everywhere saying it’s a Cutter pattern. It’s 10 days away. It’s rinse and repeat…Etc etc…. Lots of disinformation running rampant. I think most folks here get that there are no guarantees…even in the best looking set ups. But I like where we stand. Nuances mean everything.

That’s a huge shift in one run SE. But who the hell knows anymore? It’s still only Tuesday…Friday is an eternity away it seems in regards to this thing.

Thank you for providing some sound reasoning. Hard to decipher sometime what is really being shown.

you said in your post above that 4 of 51 look favorable. Now it’s 4 of 51 have cutters? Do you mean 4 look ok, and 4 do not currently?

Hope nobody is believing OP runs though…10 plus days out…oh the horror.

System trending into a weak POS. Lol..now we all in the same boat if the NAM is wrong.

Holly Gennero/McClean was hot back then…great flick.

Lol I got ya…thanks. But that’s why I said a “Bit” more perhaps. Or perhaps not. Hey there will be more chances later next week, so if this is a nothing burger, so be it.

Still have 3 days to go…maybe things trend a bit more dynamic kind of like the NAM had.

I like seeing that.

I think that is certainly clear…

NAM and now GFS…we trending.