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WinterWolf

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  1. WinterWolf
    I’m being honest, I don’t think we’ve seen the real scenario yet. So ya, at this point, one doesn’t know what is legit, or what is a mirage. Pieces aren’t sampled, so all you can do is reasonably hedge.
  2. WinterWolf
    The thing is, anything can be correct at this lead. I don’t think we’ve seen the correct look just yet.
  3. WinterWolf
    I explained what that was last night…it’s called “The Pope Effect.”
  4. WinterWolf
    It sure could, but at this stage anything can be real. Modeling jumping around more than a kangaroo.
  5. WinterWolf
    Geez…you must literally have Lava actually under your ground there lol. 25 here. Your temps there are bizarre. 9 degrees in St Agatha.
  6. WinterWolf
    Rains to Maine by 12z. lol
  7. WinterWolf
    Really? The 0z runs were all very good for SNE, except the Euro Op. And their ensembles were all good too, including the EPS. What are you looking at? Now that fact doesn’t mean anything at this range, because this is still all over the place, but those 0z runs were very good for SNE.
  8. WinterWolf
    Nice 0z suit tonight so far for SNE.
  9. WinterWolf
    But the flatter looks are still not weak..low to mid 980’s are hardly weak.
  10. WinterWolf
    “The Pope factor” (Noun): If it’s showing a miss, the Pope will be showing and telling how it would hit. Conversely, When it’s showing a hit, the Pope tries to show, and say how it’s not supported, or how it will miss.
  11. WinterWolf
    I mean the 0z GEFS seems to support the 0z Op pretty nicely.
  12. WinterWolf
    It’s the Pope factor.
  13. WinterWolf
    Lol…he’s something else. Too funny.
  14. WinterWolf
    Later and less proficient phasing has been the theme this year and last too Mr Pope…I wouldn’t be so quick to dismiss that idea…
  15. WinterWolf
    I was thinking this same thing…that’s two runs in a row with just S stream(no interaction) from GFS.
  16. WinterWolf
    Lots of shifting around to go get.
  17. WinterWolf
    That looks pretty nice to me…
  18. WinterWolf
    I said this a few weeks back to that same euphemism. Ya sure, maybe if there was lots of cold air around…then it’d be something else that screws the pooch, and folks would be saying we need to thread the needle. Always a needle threader imo too Steve.
  19. WinterWolf
    That would be some potent systems then…
  20. WinterWolf
    Lots of big/powerful systems in there still too. Yes sir…shifting is in the cards with this one.
  21. WinterWolf
    That seems awfully early(Monday night)..no? That thing is no better than the weather channel app…And I know you know this. It’ll change as soon as the GFS changes…at 0z.
  22. WinterWolf
    Oh I’m not expecting that Jerry. I agree, there’s gonna be a lot of variability at this lead. Long way to go here.
  23. WinterWolf
    This is a good point.
  24. WinterWolf
    Ok, however you want to look at it. But 6z provided a big hit for SNE, 12z not as much. 18Z back to big hit for SNE(different solution obviously), big hit nonetheless. Let’s see where 0z goes?
  25. WinterWolf
    Yup, but it’s Voodoo that seems to happen friekishly a lot.
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