dilly84

4 minutes ago, pondo1000 said:

Thursday storm is ours!!! 

Back to trash here. Doubting Thursday storm too. Same outcome I'd guess.

Hammering snow here right now. Hear a few pingers but it's definitely mostly snow.

Just now, buckeye said:

everytime I look out of my office window there's a new precip form or combo thereof.   

I think it's mostly snow here now. Need pound town, get it while the gettins good.

22, windy, freezing rain in knox county. 

21 minutes ago, pondo1000 said:

Yikes. I haven’t really paid attention to ground temps tbh.

Idk the accuracy of em but simulated radars keep the sleet/zr to the southeast. 

1 minute ago, pondo1000 said:

Because we can’t help ourselves! LOL

Has anyone else noticed ground temps? I'm 4° warmer than my forecasted high.

11 minutes ago, jaf316 said:

It sucks being right on the edge every single time. I feel like if you zoom in tight enough on these maps, you can see my house sitting right on the mix line... 

Just now, HighTechEE said:

Wow, 12z NAM & GFS shows if you're not NW of I-71 you're in big trouble 

Add the hi-res rgem in that too. 

1 hour ago, jbcmh81 said:

I agree with you about it staying snow if it hits as heavy snow, but I can't discount the possibility of a classic Central Ohio bust.  It's happened too many times with too many heartbreaks.  The fact that the first round has mostly missed to the west is a bad sign.

I actually didn't do bad here in knox county with round 1. It was snowing fairly hard at 8am and I'd say we got around 2" from the first round and I'm further east than you guys.

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

Yeah hence why I replied to Gino.

But you also replied to me. That reply of his was replying to me. You know what? This is stupid lol. I'm gonna refrain from us sounding like children any longer.

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

This is definitely a sleet sounding for sure.

It's also not my location. 

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

I know how to read and no matter how marginal it is thats a decently deep section of the atmosphere near or slightly above freezing. You don't need some honking warm layer at +2 or greater to get sleet. Not sure why you are defensive of an explanation as to why you are going to get sleet.

Was defensive because of the "read a sounding" maybe you don't realize it but most here "hey idiot, read something" lol. It's all good. 

18 minutes ago, buckeye said:

  yup, 25 years plus with some of us.

2006 here. Back when it was EasternUS. I know you were on the boards even before Eastern.

Just now, Gino27 said:

That’s below 850. 

Go read again. I posted the sounding. Again, dont buy it. Right directly on the line. Id bet money my location sees less than 1/10" of sleet

4 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Warm layer is above 850. Check a sounding.

Did. Learn to read. Sorry, too marginal, don't buy it. I'll burn with the ship if need be. No way sleet gets to I71/I70

9 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

Rgem held and that’s about it. Gfs puts everyone near I-71 in the danger zone. I can feel this one slipping away...

Like Pondo said, gonna be globals vs Americans. I usually strictly stick with models, but gut is telling me to not believe this sleet storm stuff american models are pushing.

3 minutes ago, CoachLB said:

Rgem holds

Hope so. Not updated in Bell yet. But yea it hits me hard.

So far, HRRR isn't horrible but still about 8-12hrs out of its good range.. wrf both good, sref good. Onto GFS and RGEM.

2 minutes ago, Angrysummons said:

Don't worry, the GFS will come in and be a Benzo.

I guess just never seen such cold wanna be half sleet. Not when the path the low follows is in cold air the entire time. But hell, learn something new all the time. OH is about as bad as Florida is for snow(sarcasm obviously)

16 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

It's right here Dilly. Everything to the right of my pink line between 850 and 700 on the NAM is above freezing.

Here are soundings for my location.. yet, same results. Sleet the entire time.. 

2 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

It's right here Dilly. Everything to the right of my pink line between 850 and 700 on the NAM is above freezing.

Yea, just dont buy it.

I'm not a met, but I can see that no temps reach above 0 that far north, and temps stay in 20s on ground, so this model is just garbage to me. Something isn't right.

2 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

Warm nose is at 750 mb

Not on mine. Still doesn't bring it all the way to Cleveland

That as far as warm gets at 700...

Both same time period. Hr27.. how does the sleet get so far north on radar portion, while 850s and 2m temps are below 0°c?

Like what's up with it? Are mets tossing it?