dilly84

On 12/3/2020 at 1:46 PM, Steve said:

Very zzzzz for the next 10 days!!

Here's praying to the snow gods, to drop this about 50 miles south from the get go 9 days out lol.

20 minutes ago, Steve said:

Radar looks  like crap.. still lightly raining!!!

Snowing here in mt vernon all day. Nothing sticking but moderate snow. Good for when the sun sets. We'll be ready to rock and roll wil instant accumulation.

1 hour ago, HighTechEE said:

First snow (storm) flakes of the season IMBY started about 8am this morning, radar looks like heavy snow down in Highland Co.

Snow here. Wasnt supposed to switch to snow til this evening. 

Well it appears for most of us, winter is over. Talk to most of you all 8 months barring a bad severe outbreak. Sad winter is was so incredibly horrible. Next winter is ours. 50" winter coming. 

Well, at least it looks wintery out with the snow and wind blowing.. The way this winter is, guess gotta take what we can. 

Forecast wrong for mt vernon. Wasnt supposed to snow till later tonight. Already snowing and ground is covered

14 minutes ago, iluvsnow said:

Don't look now...but the 18z model runs move the snow line much closer to the I-70 corridor. Is it a blip....probably....but worth keeping an eye on it. The Chicago posters....who were and still are under winter storm watches/warnings....are on suicide watch after the last model runs.

It's trying like hell to change to snow now here in knox county. Sign for tomorrow?

On 2/23/2020 at 3:22 PM, Angrysummons said:

Well it looks like another winter winding down for the OV(outside a stray snow shower here and there into March). Not much happened this winter. It was poor. Next year can't hardly be worse. Only place to go is up. Hopefully by next Christmas, this thread will be 10 times as long as it will get this year.

Unless it's a March bomb of 12"+ I'm done with the winter that never was.

Obviously it's not going to change over, but surprised to see snowflakes mixing in with the pouring rain here lol.

It's probably not, but I'm 36, and this is the worst winter with regards to lack of cold and snow that I can ever remember. As a 3 year run, it's gotta be one of the worst runs ever.

5 hours ago, buckeye said:

Our first snow cover actually survived the rain.  Snowing nicely again.   At least we'll go into the next couple cold days with a snow cover.  No idea what the totals will be from this when all is said and done....but probably 2-4 and very localized.

And now nothing on the horizon for at least 15 days. Sure that could change but as of now nothing. At least it was something to track for a couple days..

Finally switched to light rain here after maybe 3" give or take. May be enough to survive any light rain we get until it goes to snow later 

1 minute ago, Steve said:

Was fun while it lasted...now raining in Newark!!

Hey, we made it to over 10 pages at least lol

Downpouring rain in coshocton now. Still hanging on at my place in mt vernon

Snowing like hell in coshocton

Snowing here in Howard near Mt Vernon. Temp has dropped from 36 to 32. Latest HRRR went a little further south again. I'm either in the sweet spot or the biggest disappointment spot lol

15 minutes ago, pondo1000 said:

Mix has commenced here

Nothing here as of yet. Radar is lit up, but just virga

Talk about threading the needle... HRRR

49 minutes ago, Steve said:

Going to be a soaker again!!!

Gfs came a tad south. NAM is 50/50 lol.

15 minutes ago, buckeye said:

No man's land....otoh, if trends continue that white stripe might be the sweet spot 

Agree. That's the spot that has the opportunity to either be a soakers or the most snow from the system. 

17 minutes ago, pondo1000 said:

Shit, we’d take that & run these days! Whattawinter

5 inches IMBY? Will seem like a foot!!!

Too many model runs between now and then so it won’t happen.

Not really. 4? 18z, 0, 6, 12

1 hour ago, buckeye said:

Our best hope is with a front end thump....    our miracle Hail Mary would be just enough dynamic cooling with significant precip rates to get some respectable slop...and that's a Hail Mary.

I can't recall what winter, I think it was 13-14, but the day leading up to an overnight event, all the models kept the rain snow line about 20 miles north of the city.    When the snow wall hit it stayed snow and we picked up like 8-10" overnight, even places further south did well.  Granted that was a different set up and a different time....long long ago lol.. .but the incredibly tight rain/snow line being modeled just north of us reminds me of that.     

Not being a IMBY guy here, but I'd guess from my area (Knox County) up to 30, has maybe a 30% chance of a decent front end thump. Most models on pivotal shows some decent front end snow. But I'm not going to hold my breath, nor care. If it isn't 5" plus I just dont care lol

Nam, wrf, and rgem is trying to give just north of i70 some decent front and back end snow. 

8 hours ago, buckeye said:

the only good thing is it doesn't appear to be a 'big dog' for anyone, even where the axis of heaviest is, it's a moderate event.  After that it's cold for a couple days and then the rain/snow line moves even further north taking out a lot of the sub.   

Sorry I know it's petty, but it's hard not to be in the misery loves company camp when all you've had is misery....   

#bring_on_the_torch

Gonna disagree. 8" is definitely a big dog here now. I'd venture to say 6" should be considered a big dog here now.

And just like that, any hope for i70 corridor is gone.