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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    roughly, although if something like RGEM comes to fruition we may see a stripe of 5-8 across the interior of MA and CT, wouldn't be surprised at all.
  2. The 4 Seasons
    Measles ftw! Yeah, we are definitely seeing a move towards the mesos, that 70/30 split i mentioned may be very conservative. Might be more like 90/10
  3. The 4 Seasons
    GEM also came well NW as well.
  4. The 4 Seasons
    GFS with a total cave. Not as crazy as the HRRR or RGEM going over the islands but its defintely inside the BM now. Again, i think well see a compromise here but closer to the mesos than the globals, maybe a 70/30 compromise? Which would probably be a sweet spot for most of the forum. Well see where we are at after the 00/06Z suite tonight but i think we're looking good overall.
  5. The 4 Seasons
    RGEM is being very very stubborn with this event, just not wavering much each run
  6. The 4 Seasons
    Kinda wild the difference between the mesos and the globals. RGEM goes over the canal, HRRR over ACK, GEM/EC over the BM and GFS well SE of the BM. Still think well see a compromise, somethings gotta give we are approaching 24 hours till start time, at least on the mesos. The timing differences are also pretty stark with HRRR/NAM 10pm-midnight moving into S CT and the EC/GFS not really getting things going until 7AM ish on Tuesday. Our first call was 1-3, we'll be making a final call tomorrow but i think for now that still stands.
  7. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah, i agree. This could turn out to be a really nice event with perfect timing for the daylight, almost perfectly centered from sunup to sun set, surface temps in the mid to upper 20s, with cold after the storm.
  8. The 4 Seasons
    6Z euro is not gonna be as good as 00Z, looks like it ticked back SE, similar to 18Z. Still a decent swath of snow over SNE about 1-3. Just an off hour run though, 12Z could easily tick back NW.
  9. The 4 Seasons
    RGEM is a nuke, drops 16mb in 12 hours. Its been fairly consistent but is definitely an outlier right now with that NW track and explosive development. Also these mesos have been much warmer punching 850s well into SE southern new england while the globals are pretty much all snow region wide including the gem/gfs/ec.
  10. The 4 Seasons
    Pretty big jump up on the Ec, it's been playing a bit of catch up with the mesos so it's expected. I think a region wide 1-4 is a good starting point for now. Kind of a far cry from the moderate snowstorm we were potentially looking at a few days ago but also a lot better than pure whiff, especially with the cold incoming
  11. The 4 Seasons
    Aye that's my fav storm of all time. I thought yours was 12/30/00
  12. The 4 Seasons
    Why
  13. The 4 Seasons
    23 months with <3"?
  14. The 4 Seasons
    Updated CT snowfall totals from this event. Tri-state area snowfall totals. Southern New England map i just finished last night. I went through the past 20 pages and tried to include all the reports i could find for MA/CT/RI. This is the first year i started doing this type of map and I'm not familiar with the 301 towns in Massachusetts, not to mention all the CDPs but i did my best. I also used the NWS 72-hour snowfall analysis and snowfall totals map as a guide, as well as Cocorahs, COOP, PNS and reports from here. If there's anything to add or fix i'd be happy to take a look at it.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    yeah i dont pay attention those, however, in this case its probably right due to it raining/when he took the sample/etc. but ive seen some wild numbers in those ratios on cocorahs all the way from 100:1 to 1:1
  16. The 4 Seasons
    Hey, just looked up an interesting stat that you might appreciate. KNYC has only received a total of 2.5" in the past 22 months
  17. The 4 Seasons
    complete wipe out?
  18. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah heres the radar for the Super Bowl 2015 storm. 9PM on Sunday. We're really derailing this thread by talking about the past so ill make this the last post on the subject.
  19. The 4 Seasons
    Doesn't seem so but the one on Feb 2014 and the one on Feb 2015 both occurred/started on Super bowl evening into Monday. Thats why i thought you meant 2015, but 2014 same thing happened.
  20. The 4 Seasons
    I believe you're thinking of 02/1-2/15, which came in Sunday night into Monday, into two parts.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    DC to Maine, most of CT got 6-12". Maybe you're thinking of the "jonas" blizzard in late Jan that season. The 2/5/16 special was a wave on a front that had this very long SW/NE movement on the radar. Models had it ticking NW every run leading up to the event, it was kind of a surprise event 24 hours in because beyond that it was mostly forecast to be a whiff.
  22. The 4 Seasons
    Actually reminds me a lot like 2/5/16, especially on the Canadian
  23. The 4 Seasons
    Of course Torch Tiger started both of these threads
  24. The 4 Seasons
  25. The 4 Seasons
    tri-state area snowfall totals.
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