Crepon said that Boyle taught them in his class, they did some labs and stuff with it etc...
It's a good tool everyone forecasting should use it, trouble with it though you can only use American models, GFS, NAM 3k etc.
Which is a damn shame, i had to learn about how to use bufkit through friends at school, asking questions online and trial and error and just becoming familiar with it over the years...
There should be an entire semester course on BUFKIT imo, you could easily fill up the whole time with everything you can do with that tool.
Coolwx on the other hand plots omega with actual temperature, 0C, -12C and -18C...between -12 and -18 is supposed to be the optimal region where you want high omega.
Right, temp. It's not the actual temperature, but the optimal temperatue for snow growth. So you want those numbers (temperature) to line up with the best lift (omega) + RH. This is my understanding of it, someone can correct me if im wrong.
Imagine if that was all snow!!!! This would be 40-50" easy! And with temps in the teens you can automatically add 30:1 ratios for the entire event. This would yield 120-150". Throw in some good banding and thundersnow and would we probably be at around 200" and that's being very conservative.
ok - i reread the post, i meant "down here in CT" like in ct down here, like southern part, not the state as a whole, but i see what it could be interpreted that way.
I wouldn't say i live on the ocean. North Haven is about 10-15 miles inland and specifically im in the NW part of the town. I'm in the 30-40 range on that map. Snowfall isn't that big of a difference but i radiate unbelievable compared to HVN, i usually look at MMK for temps/weather as they are usually closer to my sensible wx. But yeah a big majority live on the spine up 91 and A LOT of the population lives on the shore. I don't know the exact numbers but i'd be willing to be it's over 50%
Yeah i meant rarely for like the majority of the population located along the center I-91 and on the shore I-95. The hills of litchfield are a whole different animal. Look at this average snowfall, it's dated but you get the idea. 80-90" for the hills of litchfield vs 20-30 on the shore.
I give you credit for sniffing out the area of snowfall max, though it could have been pushed a little west it was still good.
I probably would have called for a more uniform snowfall for most of MA with the except of barnstable, dukes and nantucket counties and the extreme s coast.
Down here in CT rarely. Significant long stretches that come to mind are Jan 2011 and Jan 24th-Mar 21st 2015. During that crazy 2+ month timeframe i had 6" or more snowpack the entire time with no rainers at all, max depth was 20" on Feb 1st 2015.
If you're going to insist on being the only one calling it the FV3 I'm gonna start calling it the AVN.
So the AVN day10 op-run went from a weenie KU to a rainer in one run, should be gone next run anyways. waffle time.
Then just hit ignore. I don't follow every post in here but from the ones ive seen @Dr. Dews been fine. Posting he wants an ice storm is fine, so what? Kevin wants them too. And if it comes down to rain or freezing rain then i want them too. If i was a mod i wanted do anything with him either. Now if he's attacking users and crossing the line then thats another story. It's free speech. Troll on.