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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    lastest HRRR pushes this thing outta here around 9 for Western CT and 11 in the east. Returns look like the starting to die down in the western part of the state and shift focus east. GON is getting slammed right now.
  2. The 4 Seasons
    This is going to end up being a more NW to S/SE gradient. NW CT still looking at the least. Still thinking most end up in the 2-5 range, even east of the river. Heavier banding is starting to make its way into SE and E CT which is good to see.
  3. The 4 Seasons
    Light snow, looks like about 1.5 down
  4. The 4 Seasons
    Nice timing for OKX radar to be down, great.
  5. The 4 Seasons
    wow nice, you have a shot at eclipsing 5.
  6. The 4 Seasons
    we say that every time. But to be fair most are going to end up too high for SE MA and RI and E CT.
  7. The 4 Seasons
  8. The 4 Seasons
    yeah its from earlier but the time stamp is the exact same, thats odd. Anyways im moderate snow with over an inch down. Do we not have an obs thread for this one or did everyone commit already?
  9. The 4 Seasons
    looks almost identical to the one they posted last night when everyone was going big and they only had advisories up for two counties in SE MASS and sub advisory everywhere else
  10. The 4 Seasons
    Shocking to hear that
  11. The 4 Seasons
    GFS/FV3 is like a 1-3/3-6 deal NW to SE.
  12. The 4 Seasons
  13. The 4 Seasons
    Moderate snow becoming heavy. Feel pretty good about 2-5 for most, not much more than that esp in northern CT.
  14. The 4 Seasons
    Glad i went 2-5 for most and 1-2 NW. That might even be too high at this point. All those 4-8 5-8 6-10 forecasts will bust for CT.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    I used to do overlapping totals on maps, but after forecasting for so long and doing the final totals map, it never works out that way. IMO, best for verification, just go in butt to butt increments
  16. The 4 Seasons
    First call for Sunday night into Monday morning storm. Will likely need to fine tune/adjust tomorrow night or early Sunday before the final call. This is the one that looks really promising.
  17. The 4 Seasons
    The 2-5 line would stretch just north of boston and i would have an area of 5-8 for SE MA and cape.
  18. The 4 Seasons
    Final call for tonight's storm in CT. Forecast based on short term mesos/EC. GFS was tossed. I'm pretty bearish on this event after looking at the trends, bufkit, etc. I see no real reason to go higher anywhere right now. I hope im wrong but this is my honest thinking right now. Once you have your final snowfall total just tag me and ill add it to the accumulation map. I'm very interested to see how this plays out.
  19. The 4 Seasons
    18Z ECMWF went SE by quite a bit. Instead of tracking the low over PYM its now just east of ACK. Mostly snow for those in CT expect SE CT.
  20. The 4 Seasons
    no one is getting 12-16 imo. Otherwise i think id save a couple off of those numbers...i hope you are right though!
  21. The 4 Seasons
    No real change on the 18Z euro besides noise.
  22. The 4 Seasons
    I'm still very bullish for Sunday, 6-12 is a good bet right now for interior S CT.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    It's not to be weighted or trusted by any means but its also not a good sign.
  24. The 4 Seasons
    Thats because one is for both storms and the other is only for this storm. They probably did not update the 10%/90% maps yet or made a mistake.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    He still could walk away with not much very easily. I'm putting out a map soon for this one, it's not gonna be pretty. Working on Sunday night first call map as well.
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