yotaman

18 minutes ago, weatherbubba said:

Hello, I'm a long time lurker and infrequent poster here and I've been following the discussion here

on Florence.  I will be very interested to see if the newest Euro model run follows what seems to be

the trend on some of the other models, in particular, the GFS which has stalled Florence near the

Outer Banks for its last two runs.  The last Euro run showed a Fran type track which would spell

disaster for the Raleigh area where I live.  I am still hoping is that Florence will turn more north and

further out to sea but unless it strengthens more rapidily than forecast or the high pressure ridge

is weaker, it looks like North Carolina is in for a hard time later this week.  I know today's forecast

models aren't gospel, especially four to five days out, but it looks like NC will not be able to dodge

Hurricane Florence and its effects.

Welcome. I don't buy the GFS. Not because it stalls it out but because it stalls it out and actually strengthens it to a cat 5 while sitting there. No way can those waters maintain that strong of a storm with all the upwelling and land interaction that would happen with a big and strong storm.

Still no rain, currently 85/78.

18 minutes ago, ander420 said:

Funny I hit home depot this morning to get more charcoal, a new grill grate, couple more extension cords and a gas can.  They still had about 8 generators and no real sense of urgency there.  It was early (8 am) but I figured there would be more concern.  I swung by Target afterwards to get some more water and a few essentials just to beat the rush and...there wasnt one.  Maybe it will change tomorrow but as of this morning all quiet.

 

 

I went to Lowes to see what generators they had and all they had was 1 type at $750 so I left. I don't need nor want a 200lb generator. The store was packed and I have heard that our local Walmarts were selling water like there was no tomorrow. People are actually scared of this one and several people on my street are already planning on leaving. I am staying put, hard to find a hotel that will allow 3 dogs with 2 of them being large.

10 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

So the main thread needs a mod or two badly....time to go scorched earth over there......

GFS smokin crack crazy loop and dumps a insane amount of rain.....that plus the constant onshore flow would back the rivers up with surge and just make this friggen terrible....good thing this is a pretty unlikely scenario...at least the OBX wouldnt need to worry about flooding from the 3 ft of rain they get since surge would already be taking care of the flooding....

That is just unreal. 35.3" for me and almost 50" for Hatteras!! That model also has it hanging around as a cat 4 for 3 to 4 days. Very unlikely.

18 minutes ago, JoshM said:

I just can't even imagine what 20"+ rain and gale to hurricane force winds would do to the trees and power lines in our area if that were to happen!!

2 hours ago, Solak said:

Sucked a trace out of the clouds yesterday evening. Sprinkled for almost 30 seconds. Counted 42 raindrops on the trash can lid.

17 days - no measurable rain. Haven't had to mow this week because the grass stopped growing.

We are in the same boat. Have had only .10" since Aug 24. Hope to get some rain the next few days. Currently 86/77.

48 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

Never fear i am about to order a generator off Amazon for Wed delivery this will all but assure the storm will not hit eastern NC....

I as going to do the same but since you are I guess I no longer need it. Thanks.

22 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

She is weakening, which means a better chance of heading more westward. The models are now showing it heading further west before turning north. The Euro, ICON, and CMC all show it hitting NC. Right now I would not bet it heading out to sea and not hitting the east coast.

Also, it's dead in here. 

Wait till next week, it'll pick up big time if she comes close to us.

On ‎9‎/‎5‎/‎2018 at 12:29 PM, franklin NCwx said:

Why not just live above 4000ft in nc? 

Both sides of the family tried to convince her that but she likes living far away from everyone for some odd reason. All relatives are here in NC.

My stepdaughter just moved up to Watertown NY cause she hates heat and humidity so much and now she is complaining that it is too hot and humid up there. It's been in the mid to upper 80's there recently. They have no A/C.

Another dry, hot, and humid September day here. Currently 90/77.

70 degree dew points would be nice at this point.

Another dry, hot, and humid day. Currently 91/78.

Feels like July, currently 93/78.

Had some storms blow up nearby but nothing IMBY. Hot and humid day to start the month off. We need some rain.

We have a storm close by with some thunder but no rain so far. Currently 88/79.

Monthly stats are:

Highest temp: 97

Lowest temp: 67

Highest dew point: 82

Lowest dew point: 62

Rainfall: 6.43  May have to update if this storm comes our way.

Looks like a 2 week stretch of hot, humid, boring weather. Cannot wait for fall.

Hot out there. Currently 91/75.

67 for a low here. Too close to the water. Currently 81/69.

.42" late last night. Feels so much better out there today. Bright blue skies and not a cloud around. Currently 82/67.

27 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

When you find it, please livestream it and follow it every inch of the way to the triad.  I may just lie in my weed lawn and sob quietly come saturday morning.  I am soooo done with this summer.  

You will get it way before I do. I am with you on this summer weather.

Waiting for the drier air to move in. Currently 88/77.

Quick moving thunderstorm dropped .18" and more importantly dropped the temp from 84/80 to 76/73.

Got another .98" overnight which puts my month total at 5.78". Parts of New Bern picked up to 5" overnight last night causing lots of flooding.

Heavy thunderstorm in progress. .54" so far from it.

EDIT. What a storm. 1.39" in about 1 hour.