yotaman

20 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

She does look rough at the moment.....would rather this be her 10 hrs from landfall, to much time left for her to get her act together.....

A lot of people expected her to be a strong cat 4 or even a cat 5 by now. Let's hope the weakening continues. At her size it would take while to wind down unless more dry air gets entrained in her.

3 minutes ago, Solak said:

Slightly weaker again.

8:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 12
Location: 31.5°N 73.2°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 956 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph

Good, keep weakening. I would love to wake up tomorrow and see a sub 100 mph storm.

Also, our local news had there future radar model show us having very little effect from Florence. Just some wind and rain. Much worse at the southern coast south of J-actionville.

Glad it has weakened today and hope it doesn't strengthen anymore. Wife and I went out to eat this evening and most restaurants and fast food joints are closed. Found a Waffle house open so reluctantly ate there. Gas stations are closing and most grocery stores are open until about 9 or 10 tonight and then closing until storm passes.

Outer bands are now showing up on long range radar.

.07" yesterday, nothing today. Currently 89/76.

Well crap, just got word my Generator will not arrive today as expected. They say tomorrow or Friday but I seriously doubt it.

8 minutes ago, pdw said:

Hello, I am just a regular person that knows nothing about weather but I am located in Middle Georgia and was just wanting to know if I should be worried about my area experiencing any bad weather other than having a few wind gusts and moderate rain.  I know the track is very uncertain and it is still too early to make decisions on an absolute path but I was wondering if this can turn into something really bad for Georgia.  

Welcome and most likely you will probably see lots of rain and some windy conditions but that should be about it. Just keep watching as things can change in the next day or so.

3 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

My aunt just texted me with a question that I hope one of you can answer...

 

"How big is Florence across at the moment?"

I did a google search and it said at 4 pm it was about 250 miles across.

19 minutes ago, mjwise said:

Significant left/anti-poleward motion has never been observed with an Atlantic major hurricane at the mid latitudes in the 160+ year historical record either, so there's that too. Even getting to shore is an uncommon achievement for storms at this latitude.

Sandy and Isabel are 2 that come to mind that made significant left hand moves but you are right that none that we know of have made SW moves this far north.

Stalling off the coast and slowly moving down it is much better than slamming onshore. Worst of the winds stay off shore and between land interaction and upwelling, the storm will weaken quickly. This is the best scenario for much of us, especially my area. 

The GFS has been insane for the last few days. Stalling off of Hatteras as a cat 5 and looping around while maintaining the same strength to now hitting the coast near Wilmington and then moving south to the Ga/SC border.

6 minutes ago, wake4est said:

The new nhc cone seems like the best choice given model data.

Much slower now. Calling for a 2 pm landfall on Friday instead of a Thursday night/early Friday morning landfall. Also looks to be a tick southwest than at 2 pm.

1 minute ago, CaryWx said:

Is it me or has the path shifted more NW and east once on shore?

Not you, I see it too. Much closer to MHC now. Not good for us at all.

10 minutes ago, ncskywarn said:

Governor ordered mandatory evac effective noon tomorrow.

Ok, that explains it.

24 minutes ago, sctvman said:

All of the Walmarts in the Charleston area are closing at midnight tonight and are not opening till the storm passes. 

12 minutes ago, MaryB said:

A friend in Myrtle Beach posted on Facebook that the Walmarts there are closing at 11:30 tonight and not reopening for an unspecified time.

That is ridiculous. That's 2 whole days of sales they will lose not to mention those who still want to go out and supplement what they have. 

12 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

Yeah I imagine there wont be many if any hotel rooms left in Greenville by tomorrow....and coming here isn't gonna be much better lol.... the line for gas at every station I passed on my way to work was long......I get off at 11:30 gonna hit up Wal Mart they had generators earlier this evening.....I never ordered one cause it looked like it was gonna be south.....so this is my fault....gonna grab some other stuff too hopefully it wont be nuts at midnight.

 

I bought one off of Amazon and expect it Wednesday.

3 minutes ago, WeatherNC said:

I am likely in the market for a generator tomorrow too.  Point of clarification on the above post and based on local media, Carteret is just maditory on the barrier islands starting in the AM.  Tomorrow is the action day for the coast, Wednesday would be for prone interior.  Indland counties will likely put out voluntaries as Beaufort is already doing

According to WCTI it is for the entire county. For some reason I cannot attach the link.

Carteret County NC is under mandatory evacuation beginning Tuesday. Pamlico County mandatory evacuations also starts tomorrow at 3pm. Both are for the entire county, all cities and towns.

Since the Aug 24, I have had .12". That's 18 days without appreciable rain.

Just saw that Carteret County NC is under Mandatory evacuation for all cities and towns in the county. This starts tomorrow morning

Pamlico county is under Mandatory evacuation beginning tomorrow at 3pm.

3 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

HWRF is terrible for us.......6 hrs after landfall solidly in the north eyewall.....

 

That is horrible for me. I am in the eastern eyewall. See where 35N and 77W meet. That is approximately where I live.

Found this on another forum. Super closeup of the eye. http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=loop_of_the_day/goes-16/20180910000000&number_of_images_to_display=400&loop_speed_ms=25

Finally broke down and bought a Inverter Generator for $385 from Amazon with delivery Wednesday. The wind from this has me worried especially since models seem to be moving this slowly northward along the coast. But we will see.

6 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

FV3 has actuaslly been crazy consistent the last 5 runs 

Did you pull the trigger on your generator yet? I am still debating.