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paulythegun

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Everything posted by paulythegun

  1. Time to beg @MikeTFox5 to post the latest Graf Model. Will report back.
  2. If this thing arrived during the day, with this middling airmass (and middling moisture that isn't going to overcome temps outside of localized banding), I guess it would just be some wet white rain right? For the city at least. At least if you buy NAM.
  3. haha right. Dew points kind of suck on this run....never gets below freezing inside the beltway.
  4. NAM is a wiggle south with the low, both 3k and 12k (vs 06z).
  5. Don't forget to move your car during the Special Weather Statement!
  6. Surprisingly few posts. Is he deleting his wrong predictions? I respect that https://twitter.com/search?q=hounds from%3A%40bigjoebastardi&src=typed_query&f=live https://twitter.com/search?q=hound from%3A%40bigjoebastardi&src=typed_query&f=live
  7. The Models! They say "0 inches of snow" and then they say "10 inches of snow". The Models cannot be relied upon! With their various inches!
  8. A helpful north trend on 12z eps for those rooting for it to go so far north we get dry slotted out of rain
  9. A West-based NAO born and raisedOver Greenland was where I spent most of my daysChillin' out, maxin', relaxin', all coolAnd all blockin' the arctic airmass pool When a couple of highs who were up to no goodStarted suppressing waves in my neighborhoodI got one southern slider and Ji got scaredHe said, "You're movin' winter back to March it's not fair"
  10. TIME FOR GFS TO SELF-TERMINATE. Sad scene. Cantore sees it off.
  11. 3k NAM (through 60 hours) is some combination of faster and/or further northeast of GFS. pretty good distance too. 12k NAM is like a half a day faster ahead with the whole system through 84. for what that's worth (literally nothing. negative information in fact)
  12. GFS slowly creeping north toward the rest of the guidance, which is slowly creeping south.
  13. Most important 18z EPS Control run in history rolling out soon.
  14. Through 102, the low is 4mb stronger on the 18z compared to 12z
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