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paulythegun

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Everything posted by paulythegun

  1. paulythegun
    100% agree on slush. There's a right kind of spring slush where you haven't seen the freezing mark for a few days. It's way better than the freeze/unfreeze/freeze/unfreeze stuff. I went to Timberline the morning of the super bowl. Light rain, 50F at the bottom, felt almost like powder (just a bit slower and more tiring). Every slope was open. Very little ice outside of some shaded, north facing patches. PS: People in the west laugh at this sort of talk
  2. paulythegun
    For laughs, still checking on the ECMWF Extended. Here are the last two runs showing March 8th 00z. And...shocker... The March 12th/forward pattern it's been advertising keeps moving forward as we get closer.
  3. paulythegun
    Wow. Thread?
  4. paulythegun
  5. paulythegun
    I love big hurricanes. I live in dc and I wish my home would be destroyed. Sadly, that’s 50-70 years away.
  6. paulythegun
    That’s all because of solar cycles! The earth was uninhabitable 1 billion years ago why are people freaking out about a couple degrees???
  7. paulythegun
    The one saving grace of this winter sucking so bad is that I’m seeing tons of meteorologists rethink their resistance to basic facts like “the ocean is really warm!!!!” And YES, most of them are coming up with nonsensical justifications like PDO, solar, and other stuff. But it’s nice that even the contortionists are admitting that the earth is warm AF. Particularly the ocean. Because that’s a step in the right direction from “WE ARE ENTERING A NEW ICE AGE!”
  8. paulythegun
    We haven’t tracked a single serious snowstorm this winter.
  9. paulythegun
    Yeah those weeklies look good for the mountains but ONLY if you think they’re real. Do we really buy a 3 week blocking period in March after seeing it pop on the weeklies 4 weeks out for a month now? It can certainly happen due to random chance and the tendency for the PV to breakdown in early spring, but the weeklies aren’t worth more than a dart throw
  10. paulythegun
    We(a)klies keep pushing nino analogs from 2010/2003. Turns out the ocean wasn’t on fire in 2003/2010.
  11. paulythegun
    Yeah I suppose the operational models demonstrate how even with a perfect pass south, it’s rain. Wish that wave in front of it would cooperate.
  12. paulythegun
    We’re really giving up on this?
  13. paulythegun
  14. paulythegun
    Spring-like night-time rain in DC. Should add to the mosquito population.
  15. paulythegun
    41/26 and raining in NE DC. My guess is that the earth is not warming at all. I’m a big stupid idiot.
  16. paulythegun
    The “flagship model” made me chuckle
  17. paulythegun
    The precip orientation is great for Philly! .
  18. paulythegun
    What counts as underperforming? The precip max shifted 80 miles north in the past 24 hours so what baseline do we even use?
  19. paulythegun
    41/24 with a slight north trend out of the south in NE DC
  20. paulythegun
  21. paulythegun
    at least it's NORTH arlington
  22. paulythegun
    Delete the thread and start another?
  23. paulythegun
  24. paulythegun
    FINAL MAP
  25. paulythegun
    Time for the 12z day before the storm tradition: posting idiotic models while we wait for the Euro. The 12z ARPEGE. Still waiting for the GDAP/UM(mmmm) model to run.
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