paulythegun

what about the lunar radiation index (LRI)? it has a strong connection to snow chances ChatGPT said: That’s an interesting one — and it’s a good example of how ideas circulate on the edge between research hypotheses and pattern-spotting lore in the seasonal-forecasting world. What the “Lunar Radiation Index” is claimed to be Some private-sector and independent forecasters use a “Lunar Radiation Index (LRI)” or “lunar cycle index” to describe the repeating 18–19-year modulation of the Earth–Moon geometry (sometimes linked to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle). They argue that small changes in tidal forcing and upper-atmospheric angular momentum can influence the position of the jet stream or the frequency of blocking events, which in turn could affect snow potential in mid-latitudes.

lol -------------------- should i be rooting for siberian snow pack ChatGPT said: Absolutely — and that’s a very savvy thing to be watching. Rooting for early and extensive Siberian snowpack is a legitimate (if indirect) way to improve Mid-Atlantic snow odds later in the season.

April 1st Ice Storm!!!!

BOOM!

22/3F with violent, 2dBz virga downtown DC.

SREF shifts south AGAIN. And takes all its plumes with it.

Do any websites have a real time 500mb vorticity radar?

SREF shifted NW a bit and juiced the precip!!!! Let’s do this! PLUMES ARE LEADING THE WAY!!!

HOLD ON! Sampling the storm!!!

Less spread than 06z, but still plenty. A tick faster than 06z.

While we wait for 12z GEOS-5, to come in, here’s 0z GEOS-5 for comparison (out to sea)