yeah i mean last year we basically didn't have winter. this year at least there is some semblance of it. although it looks like DC proper will go another year where it fails to drop below 20F.
i think it's pretty safe to say that a 5" snowstorm after Feb 20 in the immediate DC metro is much rarer than it is from Jan 1 to Feb 20. If we count the number of such storms that have happened in that period vs the number of times where such a storm hasn't happened, I would wager that the latter would far outnumber the former.
sure, but a snowstorm around here in late march is what, a 3 or 4 sigma event? probabilistically, significant snow after mid feb is rare, and becoming rarer.
that's 16 years ago. things have changed. sure you could get the anomaly and up by you it certainly is more favorable. but inside the beltway, we struggle to hit freezing at night in the heart of winter. my mid/late feb, the flowers are blooming (hell flowers around here basically never died).
nothing but green grass here downtown (where we have grass lol) - but we drove up to the cathedral and there was a nice dusting up there. elevation matters, even in the middle of the city.
overnight low of 35 right downtown - another night where we can't even get near freezing in the heart of winter. at some point we should start planting some palm trees (some apt buildings around here have actually done that).