anotherman

Getting harassed in the mid-Atlantic forum. For nothing.

DT Chimes in. UGH.

Too good to be true?

You're welcome here as long as you don't write biased regional posts.

I wouldn’t do that.

What are the Mets in the Philly forum saying?  

Not sure there are many in that forum. It’s pretty dead. This is the place to be in the mid-Atlantic.

What are the Mets in the Philly forum saying?  

Since you asked....I’m in this forum because it’s the most active and most knowledgeable. I’m also in the central PA forum. I live about 10 miles from the M/D line so my climo is more similar to Westminster and Manchester than it is to Philly or south Jersey.

This is around the time that some weenie met chimes in to say that the models are going to correct north.

You’re in Philly? DC doesn’t need a north shift lol, EPS bullseyes this area. 

I think he was talking to me since I’m in southern PA.

I always want the big dog, but.....if you told me I could have wall to wall cold but there would only be 2-4 and 3-6 events and no big storms....I’d take that in a heartbeat. What I really love about winter is the winter landscape and staying power.

With each push south it's also getting weaker. 
We need the confluence to ease and hope for some ticks north.

I’m sure the GFS will oblige since it seems to be 2 or 3 days behind the Euro.

He's still downplaying. Tweeted this 35 minutes ago.
@TOMRUSSELLCBS21
A WINDOW INTO YOUR WEEKEND WEATHER: Very cold weekend ahead! Quiet Saturday but Snow moves in on Sunday. A Few inches of snow before changing to a wintry mix by Sunday evening.

Well, he’s either going to be a hero or be very wrong. No in between.

1 minute ago, paweather said:

Looks like per the MA Forum UKIE went south. Sooooo....what does that mean for the EURO run coming up. 

Hopefully not much, but I'm scared as hell, that's for sure.

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

The real issue is ignorance. And I don't use that word in a mean-spirited way. I know enough about weather to ignore snow maps. Honestly, I don't really spend time looking at them much at all. That's my choice, I know that many love them, and that is great too!

The problem, bigger scale, is when a map is posted and put out there for people that know nothing about the weather. They see an outlandish map, and automatically, it becomes a forecast. That's the problem. It's not in this forum, it's with the public at large. (and how they're perceived)

You cannot show snow maps to those who don't understand the fact that all it is is an educated guess.  The fact of the matter is that the general public still thinks a weather forecast is not a forecast, but a fact that WILL happen.

Just now, paweather said:

That is awesome. Panels 102-114 are just fun to watch!

In my opinion, the GFS will continue to improve.

Just now, canderson said:

That GFS looks wonky but it still works out. Someone (GFS vs Euro) is gonna have to cave or be very wrong on how the storm unfolds. 

I think the GFS is caving.  Each run looks more like the Euro.

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

That's HM as in Henry Margusity. The ultimate met weenie. Man,  I miss his entertaining video rants...

Meteo Madness!  He is the biggest weenie ever.  In that, he allows what he wants to happen affect what his forecasts are.

5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

There was talk yesterday about the analogs for this potential event. Interestingly, the #1 analog was 2000 = a complete whiff east. 

Oh crap, that is a bit scary.....gotta hope it ends up more like February10 2010 and not 2000 or Boxing Day 2010.  

Just now, ovechkin said:

But Isn’t there a risk of the worst of both worlds so to speak? WAA dies out earlier and still miss the goods from the coastal?

Yes, that's the class Miller B screw job.

The Mid-Atlantic forum is talking about how the 6z EPS is east of 0z.  I don't have maps, but that is what I figured might happen.

Just now, Cashtown_Coop said:

Yep the big boys.   96, the 30” 2016 storm and others.    What do the winds look like.   

The Euro had some crazy winds once the coastal cranks up, but it tends to overdo winds at the surface.  Not sure about other models.

3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

My take is that the storms jackpot heavy snow area keeps expanding once the qpf starts adjusting up.   DC and points north 2ft amounts.  A storms crawling up the coast could be one of biggest storms in the last 25 years.   Once NAM comes into range, it will start spitting out 36-48” amounts.   This one is why I got into weather. 

Now that is quite a statement.  I hope you're right.  Did you see all the analog storms for this one?

Just now, Voyager said:

Congrats Binghamton??? 

I know, now I'm going to be 

My bet is that it adjusts back south just a bit.

Just now, Cashtown_Coop said:

Yes it was the greatest Christmas present 

I believe that is Justin Berk's baby.

Just now, Cashtown_Coop said:

I got this for Christmas from my sister.   The scale goes to 36”.   

Ooooh, I need one of those.