gopper

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1 minute ago, Grothar of Herndon said:

DS eyebrow? LOL! What the $@%!

Really!!  I want to hear the story behind that name!

13 minutes ago, yoda said:

I'll take the 12z Para GFS for 200 please Alex... another NW tick from 06z with the wintry precip

A legend...onto better things!

19 minutes ago, frd said:

 

Snow cover in every state !

Of course I believe it 

 

Right! and the Carolina's and Georgia have more than us!  That ain't right!

flurries again in Towson.  Somebody made a bargain with snow miser to keep heat miser away in February!   I like!

Towson:  My son and I took a "snow run" for the third night in a row.  Not hard snow, just enough to make the run really fun.  Despite minimal accumulations the last two days, it has been awesome to see snow falling nearly continuously.  Now I need more!

Towson:  pixie with a few fluffs occasionally mixed in.

Just took a snow drive!  It was snowing hard in Fork and Glen Arm!  Saw 3 accidents.  Definitely slick in spots and people are not expecting it.  Drive with care but not 10 MPH like some do.

Just now, Dabuckeyes said:

Are roads covering there? Driving back from Hershey and snow is just starting here. 83 can get sloppy fast

Not sure about main roads, but side roads are instant coverage.  Coming down pretty good now, so I would think some main roads are covered, but they usually do a good job keeping 83 pretty clear.  Drive safe!  Hershey open now?  Rides and everything?

3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

If anyone is curious, the 12z HRRR and Nam Nest are already too light on snowfall compared to the current obs. Might catch up later, but it's too light right now even using Kuchera. 

Over achiever incoming!!

steady moderate snow in Towson

PSU's Proff.:  "WAA waits for no man."  2 hour early start = over performer!

light snow in Towson. Instant stickage.  NICE

First flakes in Towson!    28 degrees

I am going to pretend that we are just supposed to get a dusting...Then, I can be pleasantly surprised when it over performs 

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Right or wrong (probably wrong) the NAM is chasing the convection and taking the secondary way too far OTS. It’s improving slightly each run with that but not enough. You can see the slp ride up the line of convection that fires out over the gulf steam vs tucking in along the coastal front baroclinic zone. 

Is this what the HRRR did as well?  And to a lesser degree the GFS?

16 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Hello everyone I just made some new snowfall maps the one right below is through Monday Morning

 

The one below this is the total snowfall map.

What do you guys think 

Seems reasonable to me!  Hoping for more, but I think your map makes sense at the moment.

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Seem to be still some variance still in low coastal position for Mon on 18Z EPS

Which one of those do we want?  I'm guessing most of those in the bulls eye will work if the storm develops correctly.....

RE:   T...R...E...N...D....

OK, Let's keep pushing this thing south some (on American models)!   Come on PSU, get nervous again!

2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Not sure why anyone on the board from BWI north isn't smoking a cig and staring dreamily at that. Weird to see complaining/worry after a run like that. 

That's close to max potential for us. Beyond, even. Not gonna happen, obviously, but fun to see a crazy run from one of the models this close in. 

Probably not, but it is on the table.  Wish we could see 2 feet from VA to PA, but some will be blessed and some will lose.  Hoping Baltimore is blessed!!  I do fear this thing ends up north and we get missed from the backside.

CMC hour 108

2 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

The heck is wrong with all these websites? I leave, and come back in a fresh tab and it still shows the 18z run when the 0z is done. I kept looking at the RGEM wondering what was so good, but it looked no different because it was no different.

same with me!  LOL

Are we still afraid this thing is going to miss south? 

If Ian shows up, the the whole family will be back!

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Yeah—I really hope to hear from him again at some point. He’s great. 

Showmethesnow posts in the Central PA forum sometimes.  So, he must be well!  Would love if he popped in here from time to time.

Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

This is the control run not a mean. 

14 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

It's gonna go right back to yesterday's 12z run with 4 feet of snow just S of D.C 

That will come tomorrow night.  It think it has another 24 hours before it gives us the crushing blow again....of course it will be centered more over MD this time   "Never want to be in the bulls-eye too far out"