gopper

3 hours ago, gopper said:

heavy, heavy snow in Towson!  Roads are caving!  Go GFS!! 

actually, I'm pretty sure I hear sleet out there, but there's no way I'm getting out of my recliner to check.  Cat is settled on my lap!  But it is definitely sounding like sleet mixing in.

heavy, heavy snow in Towson!  Roads are caving!  Go GFS!! 

3 hours ago, Nomz said:

Lesson learned that marginal temps suck IMBY lol. Barely any snow on top of like an inch of slush here in Georgetown.

I once heard from a poster that it only rains in Georgetown

3 hours ago, TSSN+ said:

Meh it was way off. Had back to western pa getting 6”+ a few days ago and dc in 30” now maybe no one gets 30” immediate coast might get 15-20” if lucky. Euro was meh but never really teased us with big totals and cmc wasn’t showing it being too big either inside 4 days. Gfs was just big tease that bled away run after run 

GFS was extremely persistent on a deep low close the coast for many runs.  Other models were like "yea, right"  In the end the appears to have been a meeting in the middle that mostly sucked for DCA and BWI peeps.  I think GFS just had too much emphasis in the lowing bombing in a perfect position for DCA and BWI areas, but in the end the bomb must have been just a bit too north and east for our latitude to fully maximize.  I am sure that many other factors played into it as well, but we really needed the strong fetch from the coastal to get the big stuff and we simply did not get that.  Maybe some backside love tonight but I doubt much, 

3 hours ago, baltosquid said:

Rain is heavier now in Baltimore. Maybe if we can stay under these returns for a bit we can changeover somewhat on schedule. But I am basically expecting 2-4 inches. I think we've lost warning criteria potential with how warm it has gotten, barring a perfect overnight death band. Oh well. I think it can still look quite pretty tomorrow though, as long as we don't completely get minimized between the CCB and the norlun...

The snow mix has started just to your north.  It should not be long for you.

I think 2-4 is reasonable.  I am also concerned about being stuck in subsidence zone.  Most models had that look for Baltimore area.  

3 hours ago, Interstate said:

33.8/33.6 just to all snow here in 21057

Are we still getting our blizzard?  

big ole flakes mixing in her in Towson.  But will it stay?

What's happening up 83?  I am looking for a snow drive but not sure what directions I should go?  West? North? East?  Help!!

3 hours ago, aldie 22 said:

Much needed .41 in the rain gage but I sure wish it had been 4" of snow. I usually don't get too disappointed at weather because I can't control it but this blows a bit. I'll keep telling myself we need the rain but....

I've been telling myself the same thing!  Even though I am looking forward to spring gardening weather, I still get that awful feeling when I am in the midst of a snow bust.  Years of being a weather weenie school teacher messes with your emotions when it comes to snow.  lol.

3 hours ago, gopper said:

some chunkier rain now in Towson.

nevermind. rain looks normal again.  Guessing we go back and forth for the bulk of the day, but hoping all snow kicks in before noon

some chunkier rain now in Towson.

Towson 34/30

3 hours ago, bncho said:

That's like 2 degrees colder than the coldest model. That could be telling for the front end thump

colder can't hurt.  But might not be enough for early stuff.  Is early stuff supposed to be light or thumpy?  I thought it was supposed to be light.

3 hours ago, LP08 said:

It’s a furnace at the surface.

very consistent with qpf. but the snow fall has decreased almost through out our region.  We shall see.

3 hours ago, Weather Will said:

0Z 3K NAM was a drier run for the western burbs compared to 18Z. I see no sign of the IVT east of the mountains this run.  Reality is setting in that this is a major storm for the eastern DC burbs and the shore. I will be happy with 3-5 inches of snow blowing around in 40 mph gusts Monday am. Maybe I will get a miracle burst from the IVT to jack my totals but not counting on it.

Agree.  The distribution of precip is definitely off from the previous run, unless your in NJ.  This is all just a simulation until game time.  Either way we slice it, we gonna get snow!  Let's enjoy every moment of it!!

4 hours ago, ThePhotoGuy said:

51.9 for the high. Beautiful day and sunset. 

Amazing photos!!  Thanks for sharing!!

where the heck is PSU?  and what happened to usedtobe?  I really miss his posting here.  

3 hours ago, CAPE said:

now this is a map worth showing!  my all time favorite with absolutely unbelievable rates in Baltimore!!

3 hours ago, Interstate said:

I mean this is crazy... I looked back and the GFS locked in at 0Z Thursday... so a full 48 hours ago.

will it hold for another 36 hours?  Hopefully returns to its first idea of insane blizzard!

3 hours ago, bncho said:

25 MILES WEST WITH THAT CCB BAND AND WE ARE THERE AT THE HECS

With a low in that location, I still think the ccb band will be further west some.

High of 50 today.  I thought I would try to do some gardening since it was so nice out.  Tried to dig up some of the darn onion grass that always shoots up this time of year.  The ground was still rock solid frozen.  I think this bodes well for our event on Sunday.  This event is occurring after a long, long cold period.  Ground temps are still really cold.  I'm hoping that we bust on the cold side of this event.

Sun Dogs (google pic)

double rainbows (google pic)

5 hours ago, H2O said:

Gonna start a thread for it

Not so fast Betty!  Let's wait for your tits to recover some.

And maybe for some more support.  Let's will this Blizzard to us. We need it!

3 hours ago, baltosquid said:

I did my first sleet shovel. This stuff is no joke. So strange compared to snow. I’ll repeat the granulated sugar comparison but the grains are bigger. Tough to shovel as it is dense and hard to pile up somewhere convenient - it just slides down the pile and spreads out. Easily 2+ inches of it so far.

https://streamable.com/tqwk2t

Put some gloves on!  It's cold out!

I've been totally lazy today.  shoveling's tomorrow in little bits.

call me weird but I am hoping for the freezing rain glaze at the end.  It's so cool to see the glace of ice on top!