gopper

Sun Dogs (google pic)

double rainbows (google pic)

5 hours ago, H2O said:

Gonna start a thread for it

Not so fast Betty!  Let's wait for your tits to recover some.

And maybe for some more support.  Let's will this Blizzard to us. We need it!

3 hours ago, baltosquid said:

I did my first sleet shovel. This stuff is no joke. So strange compared to snow. I’ll repeat the granulated sugar comparison but the grains are bigger. Tough to shovel as it is dense and hard to pile up somewhere convenient - it just slides down the pile and spreads out. Easily 2+ inches of it so far.

https://streamable.com/tqwk2t

Put some gloves on!  It's cold out!

I've been totally lazy today.  shoveling's tomorrow in little bits.

call me weird but I am hoping for the freezing rain glaze at the end.  It's so cool to see the glace of ice on top! 

4 hours ago, winter_warlock said:

I know that this may be me wishing it... But there have been many many storms in the past where the modeling said a change over was going to occur, but never did.  Would be nice if this was also one of those times.   Models are walking that very narrow line where the change over occurs 

 

This is true but not so much so in recent times.  tends to be true more so when it comes to freezing rain turning to plain rain as surface temps are difficult for models but I am I right there with you on hoping the turn over does not occur or at least holds off longer.

3 hours ago, baltosquid said:

Yeah it looks like it's amping a bit more. I don't know if this depiction survives even another small nudge like that.

agree that GFS is starting its gradual cave towards Euro.  To me it appears to have lost a couple  inches of snow for most/many from the 18Z run.  I expect it will shave a couple inches off each run and meet the Euro fairly closely at game time.  For me in Towson, I am expecting 5-10 inches of snow turning to sleet. then a light freezing rain to top it off.  It will still be cold, white, and beautiful!  Just not as deep!  But should be fun walking on top of it this week.

Okay, where is PSU?  I wont feel like this a real hit until I see his long posts on what could go wrong.  Or even a post about how Pars Ridge is in the fringed zone.

From here on out, I will follow the sage, "Ji".  His word is always true!  "The model that shows the least snow always wins."  I will only focus on the model with the least, then I will not be disappointed!

4 hours ago, gopper said:

The only time I really ever watched JB videos is when he did "Point, Counter-Point" on AccuWeather.  I can't remember the name of the other Met that would do the videos with him.  I believe he died at a fairly young age from some sort of ladder accident.  Does anyone remember the name of the other met on "Point, CounterPoint".  I actually thought that his points were better than JB's.

3 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Ken Reeves

Yes, that's him.  Thanks!

The only time I really ever watched JB videos is when he did "Point, Counter-Point" on AccuWeather.  I can't remember the name of the other Met that would do the videos with him.  I believe he died at a fairly young age from some sort of ladder accident.  Does anyone remember the name of the other met on "Point, CounterPoint".  I actually thought that his points were better than JB's.

3 hours ago, RDM said:

The banter in the Jan Med/LR thread this morning (and much of the last few days/weeks) is too much.  Wish people would move it here to Banter where it belongs.  It's no wonder why so many red taggers and the more established members of the forum have absconded the last few years.  We've seen the flood of banter in the LR before during times when there's not much to track and run-to-run hope-casting drives the dialogue;  it's getting old (despite the best efforts from the more established members to normalize expectations).  

Been on this forum since nearly day one and was a long timer on Eastern before going back to the late 90's.  The influx of banter in the Med/LR has always been a challenge, but it's much worse in recent years (as others have commented about on why they no longer post much).  Maybe that's the result of the explosion of social media where the trend today is to type and send before thinking.  There's so many posts that people unleash in a knee-jerk reaction that should be considered for a while and then deleted; as some have commented about doing themselves (for those who exercise good self-moderation, hats off!)  

Again, the focus is on the smut in the LR page.  Many of the newer posters need to either post their banter here or read more and post less in the LR page.  We all want snow, but the other junk is getting old. 

 

  

Agree with the bolded 100%

I guess when the snow prospects go down the toilet, the only game in town is to watch the cats fight.

Aldo 04 is an instigator 

Not sure we want to use the words "dead" and "winter" together.  lol

All frozen is awesome! Each form has its own uniqueness.  You just need to know how to deal with each....kinda like having children...no favorites

3 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

when really was the last one?  2010?

3 hours ago, Chris78 said:

Miss one south , then north. Next Fridays clipper has evaporated.  Fun times

This is how we roll around these parts.  Frustrating, for sure, but it is just the way it tends to be.  I suspect that in the middle of the frustration, another, little, surprise event will start to materialize.  If not, we go back to chasing pink unicorns in the future.   C'est la vie.

Even though the accumulation in Towson were on the low side, I thoroughly enjoyed this wonderful winter day.  Went for a snow drive down towards DC in the AM and got to see the heavier dendrites.  Had lunch, then wife and I went for a Hike at Lake Roland.  It was crisp with snow flurries sprinkled in.  Felt so good.  Then, after dinner, got to take a little run with snow still falling and actually heavier than most of the day. Was not expecting that!  It looks beautiful outside with the lights and the sugar coating of snow on everything.  What a great day!

5 hours ago, Interstate said:

I have a coating now from that little thumb over Baltimore county.

see now.  Aren't you glad they brined the roads for you

models, model, models!  so many models!

eons ago there were two models that were the go to models.  I think it was the AVN and the Eta model.  I remember folks talking about the E/A rule (i believe it was called).  If these two models agreed on snow, then it was a sure bet.

Later the models changed and increased in number, but when the Euro came to America, it rapidly took over the kingship of models to trust most.

Now with so many models printing out such a variety of possibilities when it comes to snow in a given area,  I've had to put all my chips into the Ji rule: whichever model shows the least amount of snow is the one that verifies. I find if I put my faith in the snowless model, it usually verifies, and if not, I get the excitement of a surprise snow!  According to the Ji rule, I should expect no snow for the next two storms, despite the fact that some of the majors are showing some snow for my area just north of Baltimore.  Going with the least snow solution is depressing, but there is the thrill of a surprise, if indeed, the least snowy model is wrong and we get a decent snow.  Hate to say it, but Ji is becoming my HM!  He will never, ever take the place of usetobe, however.  usetobe is always the EF Hutton of this board.  When he says its gonna snow, it snows!

All that said, my faith in the flakes/forecasts really rests in the many mets. who post on this board.  Their insight, thoughts and ways of understanding the synoptics and interpret the models is really of extreme value.  What a blessing it is to be able to learn from so many trained mets., forecasters, and expert teachers!  And if I am too old to learn it, I just appreciate the knowledge shared by our experts!!  Keep on doing what you do so well!!!  There will always be onlookers (like me) who will gain from your insight.

snow/sleet/rain mix now in Towson.  

Virgaville in Towson

is it time for me to up my snowfall contest prediction by 10 inches?

On 11/26/2025 at 7:40 PM, winter_warlock said:

The best winter storm I ever saw was the blizzard of 79. Presidents Day storm no 1 ..  I was only 12 at the time... At the height of the storm bwi got 17 inches in 5 hours.. snowfall rates of 3.5 inches an hour. I remember waking up about 3 am looking outside and it was snowing so hard the whole street was lit up.  I was 12.  And even after all the storms I've seen since.... I still haven't seen it snow as hard as it did in that storm. I remember my next door neighbor measured 24 inches.  That blizzard  is what got me hooked on the weather and meteorology. Been studying it ever since

Ditto this!  I was 11 but my experience was the same as yours.  I remember waking up around 4ish and was in absolute awe at how hard it was snowing where I lived in Baltimore. I went from window to window not really believing what I was seeing.  It was also special that the rest of the family was still asleep...felt like it was a special gift just for me!  Although I have seen a couple of storms with more overall accumulation, there was no replacing seeing the rates that PD1 gave early that morning!  Instant imprint on my brain that led to this sick obsession that I share with many of you on this board.  I'm glad that I am now old enough that I can enjoy each and every event without all of the ups and downs of model mania.

BWI: 22.0

DCA: 15.0

IAD: 25.0

RIC: 12.0

Tie Breaker SBY: 10.0

DCA: 103

IAD: 102

BWI: 102

RIC: 102