Chinook

There have been a couple of confirmed tornadoes today. One confirmed tornado right now is near Oakley Kansas. This is a pretty low-moisture situation today. Apparently even up to 1000 J/kg of surface based CAPE near this area in Kansas. I don't even really know if a lot of hail will happen today/tonight.

you can pretty much see the warm front with the buoy obs

Convection-allowing models have a rain/snow thunderstorm for you guys tomorrow

radar with a bunch of storm reports

observations from the snow band earlier in the day

You know it's gotta be snowing if the SPC puts out a mesoscale discussion for snow (MSP to Wisconsin, right now)

classic look for Rockies and N Plains snow and S Plains severe (see day-4 outlook on the SPC)

When there's a data outage of some sort at NCEP/NWS, I always tell myself that somebody tripped over the cord to the computer, and they didn't plug it back in for a few minutes. It seems like there used to be more times when the NAM/GFS were delayed. I guess nobody trips over those cords anymore.

The GFS and ECMWF both have 980mb in Colorado on Sunday, so that's some incredible agreement on that feature. Surely, there will be snow for a lot of high elevations, and there's a decent chance of 30mph winds the Front Range cities. I'm sure future models runs will have a better forecast for snow for the Front Range cities.

METARs? What METARs?

More loops https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_GFS_sfc_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_satellite_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_surface_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_500mb_loop.html 06z when the snow started to go nuts for you guys

Here are my loops of the big storm system. The radar loop is for the snow in Denver. I knew this would be a big storm for Denver, so I started archiving maps. Then, a tornado almost hit my area! https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_15_2024_radar_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_surface_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_satellite_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_GFS_sfc_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_16_2024_500mb_loop.html

Maximum rotation at Willard/Plymouth/Plymouth Township lines up with the report that the EF-2 tornado was at Plymouth Township (Richland County/Crawford County)

so the Hancock County tornado was southeast of Bluffton, rather than right next to Findlay or possibly towards Vanlue?

My brother in law knows someone who was looking for survivors at Indian Lake. I got to see a few firsthand pictures of metal wrapped around trees and such.

oh by the way, 41" is red

large high-precipitation, southwest of Houston

one significant wind report from the Houston area with, once again, a possibility of 1" to 3" hail

I made this radar loop for you guys https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_13_15_2024_radar_loop.html

One of these storms may have maxed out with 2" hail west of Houston. Not sure if they can generate a tornado threat.

This was close to my family member. I will eventually get some sort of update from the locals...

east of Celina OH now

this was a tornado W of Celina

One of my family members had to go to the basement.

Toledo got 1.57" today with frequent lightning at times. I think I saw some small hail, but it didn't cover the ground much.