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roardog

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    Cass City,Michigan

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  1. roardog
    The resources you use everyday contribute to it just as much as everyone else.
  2. roardog
    A strong El Niño favors a cool Fall that turns mild for December but who knows.
  3. roardog
    I’ve been on these boards for over 25 years and I’ve yet to find a more optimistic poster than jebman.
  4. roardog
    Looking at those temp departures, It looks like we were in between the “cold” east of here and the very mild not too far west of here. I could see how it could have been a clipper pattern around here that winter. I wonder if that is what helped Detroit to get to average snow.
  5. roardog
    Yeah. There’s some questionable temp records from the early days of record keeping for sure.
  6. roardog
    It can go both ways. What we think could have been a monster Nino in 1789 might not have even been stronger than 2015-2016. That would make the current Nino even more impressive.
  7. roardog
    When measuring enso strength you’re talking tenths of a degree making a difference as far as records. No one can convince me that we know the strength of an El Niño from the 1700s. Even 1877-1878 is questionable down to tenths of a degree IMO.
  8. roardog
    The media will have you believe that every heatwave is a “heat dome” that will melt your entire body and you’ll end up in the city sewer system. Meanwhile every cold snap is the polar vortex coming south instantly freezing every human or animal outside in place. In reality, sometimes it’s just really cold in winter and really hot in summer.
  9. roardog
    I don’t know about that. The whole sub could be 30 inches above average in snow and 2 degrees above average in temps and we’ll still get CAD posts. lol
  10. roardog
    With the way the CPC “ forecast” works they might as well. The darkest red area of Texas was a 60-70% probability of being above average. That means there was a 30-40% probability of it not being above average. The northeast corner of the state had a 40-50% probability. So there was a higher chance it wouldn’t be above average. lol
  11. roardog
    I think Christmas 1982 has given everyone the misconception that a strong Nino is likely to have these outrageously warm high temperatures in the winter. The majority of the winter warmth usually comes from mild overnight lows due to the lack of arctic airmasses causing a lot of cloudy, mild overnight lows from constant pacific airmasses. You want a "super Nina" if you want those really warm daytime highs.
  12. roardog
    I think I would rather take my chances with a super nino than a pattern like 2001-2002 or 2011-2012. At least the super nino should have a ton of moisture streaming into the country.
  13. roardog
    There’s nothing wrong with what Snowman posts. It’s just he posts tweets saying basically the same thing by different people multiple times a day and week. It’s a little obnoxious IMO.
  14. roardog
    They can’t really ever be wrong with equal chances.
  15. roardog
    I think some people are just skeptical because the PDO is so outrageously negative for what is already a super Nino. I know it's still summer but this persistent very -PDO almost defies those same laws of physics and reality you talk about.
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