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roardog

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    Cass City,Michigan

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  1. roardog
    Forky likes to oversimplify the atmosphere. If it was that simple then why did December 2006 through the first three quarters of January 2007 have a more hostile pattern than the same period in 1997-1998? 2006-2007 was a much, much weaker east based El Niño.
  2. roardog
    I just like interesting weather. For a quarter of the year or maybe even a little more, the only interesting weather around here is winter weather. When your options are a wind driven 35 or 40 degree rain or a wind driven snowstorm, I’ll obviously take the snowstorm every time. The problem around here is that a “warm” winter isn’t warm. It’s not like you’re going to be spending a bunch of outdoors enjoying the weather around here during a “warm” winter unless you like cloudy and windy days in the 30s.
  3. roardog
    All regions are on a rapid rise. Even Nino 4 is finally heading back up rapidly.
  4. roardog
    It seems like it's been forever since the arctic has had below normal heights in October. It seems like every year as we go from September to October, the high latitudes turn into a red paint bomb with both heights and 850 temps.
  5. roardog
    Yeah we had some big 32 degree snowstorms in 2015-2016. I know we’re in an east coast thread right now so even if the mean temp ends up higher than 97-98, it doesn’t mean the east coast can’t get a massive event with just enough cold air if the timing is right. This is what I mean by saying you can’t just look at 97-98 and say it’s going to be a duplicate winter and expect little to snow on the east coast because of it. Like I said, the atmosphere isn’t that simple.
  6. roardog
    If only the atmosphere was that simple and long range forecasting was that easy.
  7. roardog
    I thought the Nino ridge south of Hudson Bay was not usually a Nino feature in October though.
  8. roardog
    October 31st. It seems like El Nino likes snow on Halloween here.
  9. roardog
    74F here with upper 50s for a dewpoint. It’s crazy the far southern part of the state still has 70F dewpoints. I don’t even know when the last 90F was here without looking. Sometime in July probably.
  10. roardog
    Not as accurate as the bank clock.
  11. roardog
    The resources you use everyday contribute to it just as much as everyone else.
  12. roardog
    A strong El Niño favors a cool Fall that turns mild for December but who knows.
  13. roardog
    I’ve been on these boards for over 25 years and I’ve yet to find a more optimistic poster than jebman.
  14. roardog
    Looking at those temp departures, It looks like we were in between the “cold” east of here and the very mild not too far west of here. I could see how it could have been a clipper pattern around here that winter. I wonder if that is what helped Detroit to get to average snow.
  15. roardog
    Yeah. There’s some questionable temp records from the early days of record keeping for sure.
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