roardog

How about Montana in the darker shade of blue? lol

I think our palm loving friend is wrong this time.

Hopefully it’s a slow spring melt.

Normal highs in Chicago are approaching 50 now and mid 40s in Milwaukee. You're acting like a 55 degree day in chicago is a big deal. There's still a giant pool of well below normal temperatures in Canada so there's potential for some nasty shallow cold on NE winds even if the upper heights aren't low or the 850 temps aren't that cold. If you were talking about St Louis or Kansas City then that's a different story.

I probably should have been more clear in my post. I was referencing the MJO impacting the developing Nino. The strong phase 7 and 8 in 2023 was looked at as an indication that the Nino could get very strong. This year it's in 7 and 8 again but weaker. I just thought it was interesting.

March 2023 had a very strong MJO is phases 7 and 8. This year it's also in phases 7 and 8, just much weaker. I wonder if that means anything.

There’s a lot of things that make a very strong Nino look likely but I can’t shake the fact that it’s only been 3 years since we’ve had one and the PDO is still negative. March isn’t over yet but right now the 30 day SOI is still extremely positive. As Chuck has shown, the very strong Ninos never have an extremely positive March SOI. I guess we’ll see.

I guess you better get your lawnmower ready for the first mow on the 4th of July this year.

The only thing I can remember is reading them from the yahoo home page back then. Who wrote them or anything like that I can’t remember. I would try searching for something like “March 2012 Great Lakes climate change” and see what you can find.

Not to downplay how bad things are out there right now because they are bad but it’s going to end up being a huge anomaly in the end. Didn’t you guys just have a string of good winters the last decade? I know 22-23 was cold in the west for sure. It’s not like some switch was flipped and now this is the “new normal”. When March 2012 happened over here after a warm and snowless winter, I read a couple of articles about how this was going to happen more because of climate change. Well, no surprise to me, nothing even close to that has happened since. Or how about the “permanent” Texas drought I kept reading about in the early 2010s? Next thing you knew it was flooding there.lol.

Ensembles don’t really look all that warm out past day 10 but who knows.

Didn’t it get up to something like 90 degrees or close to it in Traverse City in March 2012? There’s not many guarantees in weather but I can guarantee Traverse City isn’t getting that warm this month.

Meanwhile it’s in the 30s here. Sure sign of Spring.

lol

The west might be in trouble this summer if we see persistent ridging out there.