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roardog

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    Cass City,Michigan

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  1. roardog
    Yeah we had some big 32 degree snowstorms in 2015-2016. I know we’re in an east coast thread right now so even if the mean temp ends up higher than 97-98, it doesn’t mean the east coast can’t get a massive event with just enough cold air if the timing is right. This is what I mean by saying you can’t just look at 97-98 and say it’s going to be a duplicate winter and expect little to snow on the east coast because of it. Like I said, the atmosphere isn’t that simple.
  2. roardog
    If only the atmosphere was that simple and long range forecasting was that easy.
  3. roardog
    I thought the Nino ridge south of Hudson Bay was not usually a Nino feature in October though.
  4. roardog
    October 31st. It seems like El Nino likes snow on Halloween here.
  5. roardog
    74F here with upper 50s for a dewpoint. It’s crazy the far southern part of the state still has 70F dewpoints. I don’t even know when the last 90F was here without looking. Sometime in July probably.
  6. roardog
    Not as accurate as the bank clock.
  7. roardog
    The resources you use everyday contribute to it just as much as everyone else.
  8. roardog
    A strong El Niño favors a cool Fall that turns mild for December but who knows.
  9. roardog
    I’ve been on these boards for over 25 years and I’ve yet to find a more optimistic poster than jebman.
  10. roardog
    Looking at those temp departures, It looks like we were in between the “cold” east of here and the very mild not too far west of here. I could see how it could have been a clipper pattern around here that winter. I wonder if that is what helped Detroit to get to average snow.
  11. roardog
    Yeah. There’s some questionable temp records from the early days of record keeping for sure.
  12. roardog
    It can go both ways. What we think could have been a monster Nino in 1789 might not have even been stronger than 2015-2016. That would make the current Nino even more impressive.
  13. roardog
    When measuring enso strength you’re talking tenths of a degree making a difference as far as records. No one can convince me that we know the strength of an El Niño from the 1700s. Even 1877-1878 is questionable down to tenths of a degree IMO.
  14. roardog
    The media will have you believe that every heatwave is a “heat dome” that will melt your entire body and you’ll end up in the city sewer system. Meanwhile every cold snap is the polar vortex coming south instantly freezing every human or animal outside in place. In reality, sometimes it’s just really cold in winter and really hot in summer.
  15. roardog
    I don’t know about that. The whole sub could be 30 inches above average in snow and 2 degrees above average in temps and we’ll still get CAD posts. lol
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