roardog

Decent jump north actually. Doubled the precip total up here.

Should I feel guilty for rooting for it? lol

The lakes are probably going to form Ice fast over the next week so we might lose a little from that.

The posters just wishing for a big storm still have lots of time left. It’s only January.

The frost will be pretty deep in the ground in your area. Aren’t you excited about that?

It looks like both the 18z euro and euro terminator nudged south.

The CFS v2 is pretty much heading toward a super Nino. I’m not sure anything currently indicates that an outcome like that is likely.

I remember when we had about 2 inches of sleet in early April 2003 and I can confirm it looks like snow on the ground until you walk on it. I remember it took awhile to melt too even though it was April.

Slight bump nw on the RGEM

Don’t worry, it’ll be cold NE wind season before you know it while cyclone77 will be basking in 65 degree air. lol

I know this doesn’t necessarily mean anything for this particular storm but we have seen NW trends with storms this winter. The storm two weeks ago that no one was paying attention to because it was it was rain and Spring for most of the sub actually trended way NW 48 hours or so prior. It was modeled to go over or south of my house and ended up over northern Lake Michigan I believe. I mentioned something then about how this was the first winter in like 10 years that storms have been trending NW instead of SE.

It’s probably because this thread is used for medium/long range pattern prediction while threads in each sub forum are used once an individual threat becomes realistic.

I think developing El Niño summers(which we might have this summer) tend to have ridging and heat out there too.

Dry is bad this time of year whether it’s warm or cold. Warm and dry here usually consists of temperatures around 35-40 and 30MPH winds. Might as well be cold enough to look like winter when the warm option is still cold. lol

I remember the MEI getting to something like -2.3 or something in 2022. I think that’s why that winter acted exactly like how I would picture a super Nina to act.