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roardog

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    Cass City,Michigan

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  1. roardog
    I think some people are just skeptical because the PDO is so outrageously negative for what is already a super Nino. I know it's still summer but this persistent very -PDO almost defies those same laws of physics and reality you talk about.
  2. roardog
    I thought I read somewhere once upon a time that a +AMO is more conducive to a -NAO. Although that doesn’t make a lot of sense since the last -AMO had a lot of -NAO periods in it.
  3. roardog
    It looked like you were at least going to get a decent rain over there. I guess that didn’t happen. We ended up with about .60 here last night. I wasn’t sure we were going to get anything so I’m happy with that.
  4. roardog
    I think you're the first poster here to comment on how they like fog. lol. Usually it's associated with boring weather.
  5. roardog
    That's actually frustrating. How hard is it in 2026 to be able to accurately measure what the RONI is? Is it because NOAA has a different way to measure RONI VS ONI or is it the actual water temperatures that are off between the two organizations? 0.5 is a huge difference.
  6. roardog
    Is the data on Cyclonicwx wrong? The ONI for region 4 has been hovering around 1.0 or a little above but here it’s showing RONI at 0.3. That’s a pretty big difference between ONI and RONI. I’m not saying that isn’t accurate because I don’t know. I’m just pointing it out.
  7. roardog
    If region 4 really is done warming then the CFSv2 is way off showing warming continuing there into fall.
  8. roardog
    It looks like it’s staying close to 2012 to date but 2012 wasn’t at record low levels yet on this date in 2012. It fell off a cliff in August.
  9. roardog
    When I think of water skiing, I think of warm water. I can’t imagine the water was all that warm in late December. I vaguely remember that Christmas even though I was only 4 just because the weather was what everyone was talking about. The following Christmas was brutally cold I believe but I don’t remember anything about that one. lol
  10. roardog
    I feel like every time Bluewave makes a post about how the North American pattern doesn’t resemble a super Nino, snowman posts some tweets about how coupled the Nino is. It’s like some passive aggressive disagreement with Bluewave. lol
  11. roardog
    Isn’t that pretty much the case with everything humans do/have done?
  12. roardog
    Don’t they pretty much always do that? The last two winters defaulted to a Nina look. That didn’t turn out too well either.
  13. roardog
    I feel like there’s just been a lack of typhoons in general. The entire Pacific has been very quiet for years if my memory is correct, even record low at times. So if we get an active Pacific season like snowman keeps saying then that is another thing that’s different than recent years.
  14. roardog
    How is it looking? You’re pretty good at guessing what the SOI will be in the coming days. Will we break the record?
  15. roardog
    I feel like once you get into super Nino status that stronger might even be better here just because there should have a tremendous amount of moisture streaming into the country. Some of that is bound to try to make its way up this way like it did in 2015-2016. I guess if we have a record setting Nino then it’s something we’ve never experienced so technically there isn’t even an analog.
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