roardog
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Cass City,Michigan
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Not too many posters have probably been paying attention to this storm but there has been a huge NW/stronger trend with this over the last few days. It doesn't mean much to most here but to see systems becoming stronger as they get closer in time instead of weaker like we've seen the last 10 years is different.
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After 23-24 I feel like most posters here would rather take their chances with a decently +PDO if we have to deal with a stronger Nino. The -PDO with the mc forcing seemed to make things worse for sure.
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What did RONI peak at in 23-24? I feel like the atmosphere behaved more like a strong/borderline super Nino with a -PDO than anything weaker than that.
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Maybe this will do something similar. Flip the PDO this year then get a stronger Nino next year. I could see something like that playing out.
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I can’t believe we would see another strong Nino after just having a very strong one so recently.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
roardog replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Overall in the means the pattern has definitely been different than what we’ve seem from the mid 2010s until recently. It seems like it was just about impossible to get sustained western US ridging for many years. Alek always used to post about how it’s always wet in this new climate. We’ve seen some deviation from that recently too. -
Everyone has been complaining the last few years that we don't get clippers anymore. Well, do you want a clipper pattern or not? lol
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I feel like living where you do would actually be frustrating if you like snow. Clare county is so close but yet so far away from consistent heavy LES from Lake Michigan. I have no chance over here to get heavy snow from Lake Michigan but at least I can from Lake Huron even if it’s hard to get a north or northeast flow with favorable conditions.
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Looks about the same around here. It’s hazardous to walk anywhere.lol. Good thing there isn’t any wind tonight
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
roardog replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It could be your favorite weather next week. Very cold and dry. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
roardog replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah. It looks nasty. Models showing .5-.75 inches of rain with most of it being freezing rain. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
roardog replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
07-08 is what I picture when I think of a canonical Nina around here. -
Isn’t there actually supposed to be something to that? I can’t remember where I’ve seen that before.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
roardog replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah. If your thing is just to have snowstorms then you’re almost better off hoping for above normal temps in the dead of winter. -
You’re not excited about the inevitable days of low clouds and fog that ultimately comes with every mild winter day around here?
