Thursday's soaking rain looks like it'll be less than initially thought - more half an inch than 1-1.5". It also won't start until late Thursday afternoon, meaning temps might get up to 65 in the LSV.
It's def a threat, but much more south of this area. No neg tilted trough and no real CAPE here. IIRC there was a pretty big severe outbreak around this time just south of the border too.
Went for a long walk today - the river freed itself of ice around thr city remarkable quick. I wonder if there is a huge amount of ice near historic maytown now?
Sneaky chance of some severe storms overnight Thursday into Friday. Might be more down in Maryland but something to watch. The GFS features 80 knot winds at 850.
That’s the only thing worthwhile in the extended range. Nothing else anywhere around.
I should preface when I say no snow I mean no accumulation. Maybe the xterms southern tier gets work better rates but I think we are once again dealing with warm air hanging around too long.
It’s not going to snow Sunday - well some southern spots might get mood flurries I guess. Then we spike up again to near 60 by late week. Big rains Thursday to wash away the remaining salt - will be nice.
Maybe we luck out with a March surprise? I am doubtful but March is unpredictable and has delivered big time in the past.
That’s very surprising. Wonder why? The river here was iced over 4 or solid weeks which is quite a while.
It’s broken up now and it’ll be all gone next week but it was orrry while it lasted.