Signals for a storm around the 10th but like everything this season the cold extremely likely is beat by the warmth. And the cold doesn't look too cold.
Embrace spring - no real sign of any below normal cold shots anywhere and a bunch of 50s getting up into the mid to upper 60s this weekend and next week it appears. March 10 has a very outside shot at doing something but I'm not putting any cash on it.
There really is absolutely nothing to track on LR models, huh. This will go down as my least-favorite winter here in the 15 years I've been here. Just brutally awful.
I am shocked - shocked I say - as temps get colder we likely see the qpf move away.
History repeats itself over and over and over and over and over and over.
Only thing I worry about is all season warmth has rushed in wayyyyyy quicker than modeled by many of them so I can see the warm tongue melting near the surface.
From what I understand models are very poor at separating zr/sleet. Parameters and rates look like much more sleet than zr to me, except perhaps very late into the storm.