The issue we have is the airmass is marginal so we need the dynamics, The GFS doesn’t have it, But, It’s also starting to be on its own after these last 2 cycles so we need to see which side these models will follow in the next 24 hrs.
Its the strength of the two systems that's creating the havoc, GFS is weaker and further south, Euro is stronger and further north, Right now, I would lean GFS, It seems to have more support on a weaker system.
If we had a colder air mass over us that would be a classic right to the coast, Its going to be slop more then likely here but back by you and NW of there looks to be a paste job verbatim.