dryslot

There's going to be some 1-2"/hr plus rates in there for someone with that strengthening surface low.

I agree, But it did win this one, It latched on early and held serve.

12z GFS has bowed to the king,

Tell her your staying put, Then duck...........

Yes there and IZG is where i would favor the goods.

Yes, You need to know when to pick your battles and don't overplay your hand, But i still like to push the envelope a bit to see how much more rope i can get to hang myself........lol

The goods are just 1 mile NW of me, ha ha, Another tic or two south will work.

I usually give her the shovel and tell her to do the steps, Path to the oil tank and the ramp for her shed.

lol, Well, I still need to choose the hill to die on at times, But she knows my tendencies, She already said i'm guessing you'll be staying up most of the night........lol

Worked for me going on 42 yrs, Had to put your foot down early on and don't let up...........

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Clouds will increase tonight as high pressure exits to the east and a developing area of low pressure moves northeastward over the Ohio River Valley. This low pressure system is progged to arrive over southern New England by Thursday afternoon before it crosses over the Gulf of Maine Thursday night into early Friday morning and then exiting over the Canadian Maritimes. This system will bring impactful rain and snow to the region for the Thanksgiving holiday. Below are the latest forecast details. Timing: Latest hi-res and global ensemble guidance indicates that light snow and rain will begin to overspread the region from west to east during the pre-dawn hours on Thursday. Precipitation rates will begin to increase on Thursday afternoon through the evening hours as FGEN forcing increases along with increasing omega within the DGZ zone. The latest WPC snowband probability tracker (SPT) indicates the potential for snowfall rates of 1-2"/hr across the foothills and lakes region of ME and NH during the afternoon and evening, which will result in rapidly deteriorating travel conditions for the thanksgiving holiday. Snow and coastal rain/snow mix will then begin to end from west to east during the late evening and overnight hours. Precipitation Types: Most locations are likely to begin as a period of light snow early Thursday morning before coastal and southeastern NH locations transition to mainly rain for several hours during the day as h850 temperatures warm above 0C. A mixture of rain and snow is then likely for the interior including the lakes regions for much of the day with light accumulations through the early afternoon. Mostly snow is then likely for the foothills, mountains, and far north. As the low deepens while traveling over the Gulf of Maine Thursday afternoon and evening it will begin to wrap around colder air and this combined with strong dynamic cooling will likely allow for most locations including the coast to transition to at least a mix of rain and snow but in many cases it will likely be primarily snow by late afternoon. This is when travel conditions will begin to quickly deteriorate as increased snowfall rates combined with a lowering sun angle and cooling temperatures allow for rapid accumulations. Amounts and Headlines: The snowfall forecast has increased based on latest forecast guidance. There continues to be uncertainty in exact amounts though due to discrepancies between individual model runs and ensemble suites but generally did bring at least some accumulation to the entire region. More specifically, the current forecast calls for a slushy 1-2" along the coast with 2-4" about 20 miles or so inland. Amounts then increase to 4-8" across the foothills and western NH with localized amounts nearing 10". It is important to keep in mind, however, that these amounts are likely to change some as new information becomes available but despite this impacts are expected to the holiday travel. As a result, in collaboration with neighboring WFOs and the WPC went ahead and issued a Winter Storm Watch where confidence is highest to reach warning level snowfall. Some areas under this watch are a little below warning thresholds currently but given the timing of the system falling on a holiday combined with likely heavy snowbanding, and wet nature that the snow will be, believe a watch was the best route for now. Advisories will likely be needed for much of the interior. Other Impacts: This looks to be mostly a one threat system as winds will largely remain below 25 mph and no coastal flooding is expected. &&

Going to be nice to have snow for the end of deer season up here.

0z Friday when its ripping here.

12z Nam looks like its a couple tics south and a bit colder too.

Looks like CNE/NNE and portions of Western SNE are in for there first snows of the season, Post your analysis and observations here.

Eh, This one is about done anyways now that there's a Dec one, My steps outside are glare ice, Have to go salt.

May have to tip the cap to the Euro on this one.

I wonder if he has a toaster?

WSW hoisted URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gray ME 245 AM EST Wed Nov 27 2024 MEZ014-018>021-NHZ003>009-011-015-271945- /O.NEW.KGYX.WS.A.0009.241128T1200Z-241129T1200Z/ Southern Somerset-Interior York-Central Interior Cumberland- Androscoggin-Kennebec-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Cheshire- Western And Central Hillsborough- Including the cities of Palmyra, Hollis, Holderness, Charlestown, Laconia, Auburn, Lebanon, Gray, Boscawen, Goodwins Mills, Wakefield, Sidney, Greene, Milford, North Conway, Albany, Embden, Windsor, Limington, Madison, Bridgewater, Claremont, Ashland, Amherst, Athens, Grantham, Mont Vernon, Dunbarton, Peterborough, Wales, Gilsum, Woodstock, Gorham, Cornish, Tuftonboro, Marlow, Thornton, Sugar Hill, Newport, Concord, Skowhegan, Canterbury, Palermo, Meredith, Brookfield, Sullivan, Loudon, Cornville, Berwick, Vassalboro, Hooksett, Buxton, Goffstown, Jackson, Rumney, Moultonborough, Wolfeboro, New Gloucester, Keene, North Windham, Ellsworth, Chatham, Plymouth, Alfred, Lincoln, Croydon, Turner, Weare, Pittsfield, Waterville Valley, Sharon, Goshen, Ossipee, Littleton, Unity, Sanford, Lyme, Lewiston, Sabattus, Livermore Falls, Conway, Surry, Crawford Notch, Lempster, Bethlehem, Augusta, Gilford, Waterville, Minot, Jaffrey, and China 245 AM EST Wed Nov 27 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations greater than 6 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Maine and central, northern, and southern New Hampshire. * WHEN...From Thursday morning through Friday morning. * IMPACTS...Periods of moderate and heavy snow will combine with low visibility to create dangerous driving conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact holiday travel. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ Tubbs

A bit better there maybe 8:1, 4-5" or so verbatim.

6-7:1 of slop along the coastal plain, As you get further NW and in elevation you can increase those ratios to 10:1+

Tossed

0z GFS is caving towards the Euro and the other guidance .

Did you dispose of the Bruins in the same garbage can? They're terrible.