dryslot

12z GFS a couple ticks colder and south with wave 1.

Good one actually.

Seems to be heading that way, This Nam run never got above 32°F at the surface on both waves, I did not look at the mid levels as were still out on the Nam to get that cute.

The trough looks to be a little more east as well as it seems were getting a cold push SE out of Canada.

Except for the GFS, The last 4 model cycles are trending colder with the others.

That's a colder run with that second wave, Looks to stay mostly snow with high end advisory up here.

Wave 2 getting better on the 12z NAM, Like the low placement at the surface this run.

Looks colder early on at least with wave 1.

I think i'm selling that.

Yeah, Sucks getting winter weather in February, I guess you'll have to deal with it somehow.

There was still more to go with that low spinning up in the GOM at the end of the run.

Long and deep.

He gets the full monty.

Well, For now anyways, This looks to be heading in the right direction but...............

06z Euro looked a couple tics colder too this run, Got some snow into NE MA at the end of the run.

May have to summons the pope for this one.

Part one on thurs looks to be tracking a little further south on the overnight runs with a little more snow here with the 1st SW, Looks like the key to the friday deal is a little less amped coming out of the SW as it moves NE, If we get that Meso low to form and track into the GOM, It looks to advect colder dews SE from QUE thru Northen Maine further south which keeps the colder air at the surface as well, 0z Euro had it and it started to show up last night on the 18z run, 06z Nam has it as well and was much colder too, But it comes with its normal caveats at the time frame , We will see in an hour or so if the 06z Euro continues or goes back warmer, Looks like the GFS is the furthest west outlier and the warmest at the moment.

Have to love those useless white pines, Plenty of pollen, Plenty of needles.

Yeah the local PD's like to write tickets in that area.

Yes, Its done it a lot this year both at 06z and 18z only to revert back at 0z and 12z, That has been what has sucked folks in.

It reminds me to an extent of the 2007-08 season but with better results up to now that season, We have been rather unlucky so far as most of these events ended up as mixed ones or we lost the pack that we had here which wasn't much to begin with so it didn't take much of a torch and cutter pattern to wash it away. It has sucked really for most on here, We missed the December storms that got some in SNE and have had one double digit storm that goes back to 12/31, I'm 7" below normal as of right now on the season and it looks like we are going to have to nickel and dime our way to close to normal but i'm skeptical.

I like our chances up here with that look, Close to the source, And a gradient look, Just keep it active, Some of these systems should workout or it would seriously be real bad luck if none of them did.

Glad we don't live in Billerica.

I have a boy in ea of those..............