The other thing that's probably being over looked is tomorrow nights sytsem has ticked a bit north the past few runs that lifts out sooner to give monday some room, Subtle but a factor.
I'll give a cap tip to the GFS if it ends up sniffing this one out, It just gives more confidence, That a major system is in play on a threat when you have the 2 major global models onboard instead of one on an island.
No, But some think there is, Every run gets current data, I commented earlier about the Euro having it at 18z seeing its the last global out in that timeframe.