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dryslot

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  1. Sums it up in a nutshell, Some areas may end up under the dry slot. KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION: Forecast is still on track for a significant winter storm Sunday and Monday across the forecast area. We`re entering the time range where we can start picking out smaller features that can make a difference in snow rates and totals for the event. The primary messaging stands firm: significant travel impacts can be expected Sunday afternoon/evening and persisting through at least Monday evening. Increasing winds through the period will easily blow and drift the fluffier snow character, challenging snow removal in open and unprotected stretches of roadway. One smaller scale feature to watch amid the larger system will be ocean effect enhancement along the southern ME coast and NH Seacoast. Given the very cold airmass preceding the storm, the relatively warmer waters will provide some low level instability harboring locally stronger lift. Onshore flow Sunday evening through much of the night would bring some snow enhancement along the I95 corridor in York and Rockingham Co. Flow becomes more parallel to the coast come Monday morning, reducing this added effect, but greater storm dynamics will still be in play. Mesoscale banding will be another feature to watch amid a very expansive precip shield through Monday. 850/700mb frontogenesis depicted in NAM/GFS runs is fairly progressive as it lifts through New England Sunday evening. While deterministic and not set in stone, this can provide good insight into how quickly a stronger band of snow could transit the region. The current timeline overlaps with ensemble guidance suggesting heavy snow rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour during the overnight hours. Finally, a factor that could hamper snow accumulations. Overall trend in the storm has been an earlier onset and slow northern crawl. Despite the abundant and anomalous moisture content with this system, the lifecycle of low pressure systems usually features a dry slot contingent on the low`s maturity. This northern crawl the past few days has brought this feature closer to the forecast area, nosing in from southern New England. This would bring a period of less efficient snowfall. Still early to factor this in effectively for the forecast, but an item to watch.
  2. Looks like some blowing and drifting in the cards Sunday Snow likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11. Wind chill values as low as -6. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Sunday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 4. Wind chill values as low as -8. Light northeast wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Monday Snow. High near 15. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
  3. Yes, 10-14” has been my call, I see no reason to change it.
  4. The easterly flow will stack it up in the Berks.
  5. I really feel bad for those folks, After living thru Icestorm 98 here and we are much more suitable to handle events, They're fukd
  6. Don, You are looking good at both locations for this one.
  7. lol, Yeah, The SWFE last 48 hr rule, But you have to really like the look going forward into Feb.
  8. Ha, That's possible, Could match the avatar, Even the 10:1's on the GFS are insane.
  9. This is going to be a great regional hit for many, Somethings that's been a miss for several years being this widespread.
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