Looking at where many members are on the ensembles and looking at the H5 maps, It has the look of getting tugged back west once it closes off, Where that happens i think is the most important part to me.
Don't want to be in the bullseye this far out anyways, I think this is going to come further north and west, I'd be more concerned on where it matures right now.
Euro was pretty bullish with it, Had a good burst earlier then it was still snowing under the radar under dim sun which you don't see often, But looks to be building again so we will have to wait and see into the overnight.