My money is on this getting shunted more to the ENE then running inland in this pattern, The question that i think needs to be answered is how far north it gets before that happens.
A lot of the earlier AM giddiness has fallen off i see as the 12z Op GFS popped a big hole in the balloon the next 16 days or so, The block plays a roll on how its being handled by the models so your going to see some runs that will whiff.