dryslot

Like where it is right now because i have a pretty good idea where its going to go.

Lot of pellets in there.

LBS

Yeah, its pretty far west, So it would make sense in this case that its warm with that flow.

UKMET's thermals are literally garbage.

12z GEFS is west of the OP.

fwiw

This would work for many.

12z GGEM is 983mb inside the BM

I wouldn't be sweating what the GFS has at this lead, I'm not totally sold that its replaced the Euro as some may think it has.

GFS tries for a late capture and hook west this run, But just gets it a little to far east before it happens, Really all you want to see right now anyways but the potential is there for something big.

I usually compare a few different models for a "Trend" but maybe that's me.

Well, I have not really looked at much on this until now, But if that's what your basing it on, Sure.

I would not even consider this a trend with all the uncertainty surrounding this, GFS @H5 doesn't even resemble the 06z run at 12z.

lol

I never get into that model very deep other then just looking at the surface on occasion, I generally don't even look at it at all but this one has peaked my interest unlike Saturday's.

Just gazing at the 12z ICON even missing some panels i would have to say that someone is getting croaked on there verbatim.

The Feb13's unfortunately don't grow on trees, Generally someone does get screwed on most all these events, But some live in areas where that's the risk, Many forget though when they are blinded by foggy goggles or want to toss any model that don't give the results their looking for.

Your concerns are probably valid if this one follows the seasonal trend so far.

Miller A =LBS

We may need quite a few more to catch up.

All gravy from here on out.

West facing snowpack around the house will get fried this time of year.

Final PNS totals, Good storm. 000 NOUS41 KGYX 051729 PNSGYX MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-033-NHZ001>015-060529- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Gray ME 1229 PM EST Sun Mar 5 2023 ...SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM YESTERDAYS WINTER STORM... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Maine... ...Androscoggin County... 3 WNW Leeds 17.5 in 0756 AM 03/05 Public 1 NNW Livermore 15.0 in 0843 AM 03/05 Public 1.8 W Lisbon Falls 13.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP 4.0 SE Poland 12.9 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP Turner 12.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP 2 E Lewiston 12.2 in 0630 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 4 S Livermore Falls 12.2 in 0840 PM 03/04 NWS Employee 2 N Lisbon 12.0 in 0742 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter ...Cumberland County... 1 ESE Standish 13.9 in 0400 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Cumberland Center 4.4 NW 12.9 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 1 N Cumberland 12.5 in 0715 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 2 NE Gray 12.4 in 0820 PM 03/04 NWS Employee New Gloucester 3.0 SE 12.4 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 SSE North Windham 12.0 in 0400 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Westbrook 3.1 N 12.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 3 E South Windham 11.8 in 1245 PM 03/04 NWS Employee 4 WSW New Gloucester 11.8 in 0641 AM 03/05 NWS Employee NWS Gray 11.3 in 0700 PM 03/04 Official NWS Obs 1 NW Freeport 11.2 in 0510 PM 03/04 NWS Employee 5 NNE East Baldwin 11.0 in 0425 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 3 WSW Falmouth 10.3 in 0730 PM 03/04 NWS Employee Portland Jetport 8.5 in 0700 PM 03/04 ASOS South Portland 1.7 S 8.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS ...Franklin County... 6 WNW Madrid 12.6 in 0646 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Farmington 12.5 in 0130 PM 03/04 Public Temple 1.8 W 12.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 0.9 E New Sharon 9.9 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP 1.0 W Kingfield 8.5 in 0730 AM 03/05 COOP ...Kennebec County... Randolph 15.0 in 0910 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Readfield 2.0 NNE 14.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Manchester 0.5 NE 14.4 in 0545 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Augusta 1.5 WSW 14.0 in 0645 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 NE South China 13.5 in 0515 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 2 ESE China 13.0 in 0435 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 2 WNW Hallowell 12.5 in 0310 PM 03/04 Public 2 WNW Whitefield 12.0 in 0715 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 2.0 SW Waterville 11.0 in 0900 AM 03/05 COOP ...Knox County... Union 3.0 W 15.5 in 0708 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 SE Washington 12.5 in 0600 PM 03/04 Public 2 W Owls Head 12.0 in 0505 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Hope 11.5 in 0515 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Rockland 1.4 E 11.0 in 0630 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Union 2.1 NNE 10.8 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Thomaston 10.0 in 0935 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Tenants Harbor 9.5 in 0700 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Camden 9.3 in 0745 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter ...Lincoln County... Dresden 13.7 in 0817 PM 03/04 Public 1 NNE Waldoboro 11.8 in 0500 PM 03/04 Cocorahs Newcastle 2.1 SW 11.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 1 SSW Nobleboro 10.5 in 0646 PM 03/04 2 SE Alna 10.0 in 0848 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Trevett 0.3 NE 9.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS ...Oxford County... 2 NNW South Paris 17.0 in 0520 PM 03/04 Cocorahs 1 WNW Byron 17.0 in 0750 PM 03/04 Public Andover 3.8 W 15.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Bethel 6 SSE 14.5 in 0707 AM 03/05 COOP 2 E Hartford 14.0 in 0520 PM 03/04 CO-OP Observer 1 WNW Otisfield 12.4 in 0715 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 2 NE Oxford 12.0 in 0340 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 3 N Porter 12.0 in 0525 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Oxford 5.3 SW 11.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS ...Sagadahoc County... 1 NE Topsham 12.5 in 0550 PM 03/04 Public 2.3 NW Bath 12.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP 1 NW Woolwich 11.5 in 0600 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter ...Somerset County... North New Portland 0.3 WSW 8.3 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 S Harmony 8.0 in 0635 AM 03/05 CO-OP Observer Solon 3.9 ESE 8.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Anson 6.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP Palmyra 3.5 NW 6.1 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Jackman 1.6 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP ...Waldo County... 1 SW Belmont 17.0 in 0650 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Prospect 2.6 W 13.6 in 0615 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 ESE Liberty 13.0 in 0440 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Palermo 13.0 in 0823 AM 03/05 Emergency Mngr Freedom 12.5 in 0620 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 2 SE Swanville 12.0 in 1158 PM 03/04 Public 2 SW Belfast 11.5 in 0400 PM 03/04 Public Winterport 2.9 N 8.2 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS ...York County... 5 NNW Acton 14.0 in 0326 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Cornish 5.6 ESE 12.8 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 SSW East Baldwin 12.1 in 0300 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 4 NE Shapleigh 11.7 in 0500 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 5 NW Hollis 11.5 in 0958 PM 03/04 COOP 4 ESE Limerick 11.5 in 0647 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Parsonsfield 3.9 NE 10.5 in 0720 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 ENE Limington 8.5 in 0842 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 1 NNE Saco 8.4 in 0925 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter North Berwick 5.3 W 8.0 in 0720 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 1 WSW Kittery 3.0 in 0750 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter ...New Hampshire... ...Belknap County... 2 N Laconia 13.0 in 1205 PM 03/05 COOP Tilton Northfield 3.3 NE 9.2 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Meredith 2.9 SSW 9.1 in 0720 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Belmont 1.7 SW 8.8 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS ...Carroll County... East Sandwich 16.6 in 0600 AM 03/05 COOP 2 WSW South Tamworth 16.0 in 0315 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 1 E Bartlett 14.8 in 0211 PM 03/04 Public 6 W Bridgewater 14.7 in 0954 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 1 N Madison 14.5 in 0935 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 2 NNE Freedom 13.8 in 0505 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Center Sandwich 13.5 in 0500 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter North Conway 12.2 in 0745 AM 03/05 COOP 1 NNE Ossipee 12.0 in 0740 PM 03/04 Public Tamworth 10.9 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP Wolfeboro 9.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 COOP ...Cheshire County... 1 E Jaffrey 8.5 in 1156 AM 03/05 CO-OP Observer West Chesterfield 0.3 WNW 7.6 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS West Swanzey 1.0 WNW 6.9 in 1200 AM 03/05 COCORAHS ...Coos County... 5 E Shelburne 14.0 in 0617 AM 03/05 Public Pinkham Notch 10.5 in 0530 AM 03/05 COOP Lancaster 0.5 N 7.4 in 0600 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 1 S Berlin 6.5 in 1203 PM 03/05 CO-OP Observer Northumberland 6.4 in 0750 AM 03/05 COOP Whitefield 6.0 in 1146 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter ...Grafton County... 1 SSE Campton 10.5 in 1033 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 2 E Lincoln 10.5 in 1035 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Plymouth 3.7 N 9.9 in 0230 PM 03/04 COCORAHS 5 N Bristol 9.8 in 1034 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 5 SSW Lyme 9.1 in 0850 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter Hanover 8.7 in 0400 PM 03/04 COOP Littleton 7.3 W 7.2 in 0800 AM 03/05 COCORAHS ...Hillsborough County... 3 NNE Dublin 10.0 in 1025 AM 03/05 Public 3 WSW Merrimack 9.3 in 1200 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 2 N New Boston 9.3 in 1019 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 2 S New Boston 9.0 in 1019 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Francestown 8.7 in 0648 AM 03/05 Public 2 S New Ipswich 8.5 in 1021 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Manchester Airport 8.0 in 0700 PM 03/04 ASOS Milford 1 ESE 6.0 in 0730 AM 03/05 COOP ...Merrimack County... Danbury 2.2 ESE 11.3 in 0800 AM 03/05 COCORAHS New London 0.8 S 11.2 in 0600 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Bow 1.6 NW 10.1 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 1 SSE Henniker 9.8 in 1032 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Northfield 2.8 E 9.4 in 0749 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 3 E Tilton 9.4 in 1039 AM 03/05 Cocorahs Contoocook 0.6 NNW 9.2 in 0710 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Dunbarton 3.8 SE 9.0 in 0600 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2.2 W Bradford 8.0 in 0300 PM 03/04 COOP Pittsfield 0.2 SSW 8.0 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Concord Municipal Airport 7.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 ASOS ...Rockingham County... 4 NNW Derry 10.7 in 0745 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter 1 N Deerfield 9.0 in 1009 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Epping 8.5 in 0926 AM 03/05 CO-OP Observer 4 ESE Epsom 8.5 in 1039 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Nottingham 1.2 S 8.3 in 0830 AM 03/05 COCORAHS Portsmouth Airport 7.1 in 0700 PM 03/04 AWOS 1 SSE Greenland 6.5 in 0700 AM 03/05 CO-OP Observer Stratham 1.9 ESE 5.4 in 0500 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 1 W Exeter 5.0 in 0900 PM 03/04 Trained Spotter ...Strafford County... Strafford 2.9 N 11.5 in 0800 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 2 ENE Northwood 10.2 in 1216 PM 03/05 Trained Spotter Barrington 3.2 E 7.9 in 0515 AM 03/05 COCORAHS 1 N Dover 7.0 in 1217 PM 03/05 Trained Spotter Durham 6.5 in 1219 PM 03/05 Public ...Sullivan County... 2 NE Newport 10.3 in 1029 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter 2 WSW Unity 10.0 in 1031 AM 03/05 Trained Spotter Cornish 1.1 ENE 8.4 in 0700 AM 03/05 COCORAHS &&

Looks like the snow sneakers would suffice.