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dryslot

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Everything posted by dryslot

  1. Its a nice IVT look on the 12z Euro too, There will be plenty ogf 12-18" amounts in there.
  2. Not sure what some are expecting to see at 5+ days out, I know i wouldn't want to be in the jack at that lead because by go time you won't be more then likely.
  3. Someone else that didn't have weenie goggles got a hold of the map for overnight, Much more reasonable then the one earlier this morning.
  4. I would agree with that, Some know past results this winter when a strong block has appeared, Not saying its the same this go round but you would have to lean in that direction of it may be less, You're trying to time it when its still building and not relaxing.
  5. That was still really good in SNE, 12-18" for a good chunk.
  6. Nice IVT comes with this too, Some folks favorite...............
  7. No, The primary gets further north into the lakes this run but the results in the transfer look about the same.
  8. It should, It looks like the confluence is a bit less this run.
  9. Yeah, That's where it looked to be, It had looked better further west over VT/NH for a few days as this was sagging further south, I had figured around .50"-.60" here.
  10. You could see the trends yesterday of models backing down on qpf as we were getting closer which is usually the opposite on these, I'm not very bullish on this next round.
  11. We had a midnight high of 22.6°F, Temps have been dropping since and down to 14.2°F
  12. These are the times when some people get nervous and start throwing out the cliche of this can only get so far N/S.....ha ha.
  13. Your best bet is to hope the strength of the block and confluence is over modeled or it will be a nothing burger basically up here if thats what your looking for, I don't feel it for this one.
  14. It does look to progressive, There was a couple phase bomb runs that some fell for, Honestly, The block is squeezing this next one more in a ESE trajectory below SNE which is no good up here, To much confluence right now for my liking, Now if that's over modeled, Then it will change things some going forward, Better chance most in SNE will finally get a decent event to ward off futility.
  15. I'm not seeing anything historic about this next one right now, SECS, sure.
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