dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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12z EPS backs the OP as well on the 4th.
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Yes, Spacing is a problem right now, It needs more room to get the wave on the 6th to amplify, I don't think its impossible, That air mass behind the 4th would support snow into SNE.
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I'm thinking the one on the 4th is the one that will win out, It seems to have the most support for a few days now.
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12z Euro going to bring it this run for the 4th for CNE/NNE.
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Maybe we can exorcist the grinch this year.
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That is a good possibility, Air mass is marginal on the first one but has ticked colder too, So probably going to need to wait a bit longer to see which one of these waves becomes the more dominant, Lot of moving parts to reconcile.
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Better air mass for the 6th too, That would support snow if its real and you can get it up the coast instead of scooting east.
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Canadien has it on the 4th, A bit warm here, If you didn't have the one on the 4th, There would be more room for the 6th to turn the corner.
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It looks like 12z GFS is going to have it again too for the 6th.
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Its a few ticks south of the 0z EPS, Still not where some would like to see it, But have to see what happens at 12z to see if it continues.
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When you end up having these gradient patterns, It doesn't take much to end up on the wrong side when its close by.
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Its like these either want to track over you or or push the CF up to you.
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And yes, The euro inside 96hrs was killer back in the day, You could lock it in and watch every other guidance cave to it.
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Here's the clown if that's what your looking for.
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On occasion, Burn some cardboard in there, That will clean your pipe, If your pipe is that hot, Then your losing all that heat out the pipe instead of keeping it in the stove, You can regulate the pipe temp with the damper as to utilize the stove heat.
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Sounds like most of your heat is going out the chimney, No expert but i have a damper and it makes a difference as well as i can adjust the draft on the front of my stove having 2 dials.
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Draft problems are usually caused by height issues with the chimney pipe, There's a rule of thumb for how high up and how many feet away from the peak to draft properly to prevent downdrafts.
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It does burn hot, Don't need but a couple sticks once i have the old lange stove going to heat a 18'x24' space.
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Threading the needle this early on in marginal conditions can be a daunting task.
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I get a blend of oak and beech mainly to burn, But wood is not my main fuel and i only use about a chord/yr to keep the shed warm.
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Looks like the system on the 4th on the euro tries to become a 50/50 low, Not sure the 6th could work if that was the case unless the 4th is delayed until the 6th.
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EPS has looked good for those areas you outlined now for several runs, Climo favored for now, Up and in.
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A met vs a weenie? lol, I'm sure Tip had sound reasoning for posting it.
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Favored, At this time of year.
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Why would you post hr 312 GFS op run panel for 12/12? lol
