mappy

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Lol I forgot to put my gif with something substantive. Tough but fair.

i chuckled fwiw

2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

map - please convene the council of board elders so they may entertain the motion from the floor...

I am trying to think of who may have called NE MD a snowy area. There's a long running joke about NE MD PUMMELED, because it never is lol 

lol what a post

6 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I pulled this from the PA thread but I would say the OP doesn't agree with its ensembles .  Pleasantly surprised to see this.

Zoomed in version

11 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Neither am I. Models been back and forth. Hopefully the dust settles by tomorrow at the latest. 

Easy for us to say, we are in a better spot than most. 

Just now, TSSN+ said:

More rain per that run 

I didn't specify more of what, just more. Not worrying about temps right now. 

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

That Euro run only goes to 0z right? 

Correct. There should be more after hr90

5 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

These 6z runs are way too drastic of a shift there's definitely something wonky or perhaps last night was the wonky but still...something smells 

but trends!

1 minute ago, mappy said:

01z is coming in now. Better further north, about the same near DC. Map soon. 

Ooof just kidding. Worse for all. Qpf is the same as 19z, and temps aren’t any warmer than 19z, so not sure why totals are lower?

3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

This was definitely expected with the latest data at 12z, but definitely not the end of the world. It's a solid first event, verbatim. One of the characteristics I like about the NBM is being able to depict elevation and outlining the areas of focus climo wise.  We haven't even gotten into hi-res territory yet where there will be more definition inside 48 hrs and even more inside 24 hrs. A textbook fall line scenario right there. 3-6" with local to 8" is a good call for areas NW of the fall line with 1-3" max to 4" along and southeast. I'd take this in a heartbeat. Thanks for that update @mappy

01z is coming in now. Better further north, about the same near DC. Map soon. 

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

My envelope for this storm was 0-12" but I've since narrowed it down to 0-5"

Can’t be disappointed when you set expectations low lol

FWIW, 19z NWS Blend of Models (aka the NBM that has been mentioned) snow map. It is a step back from 13z that had DC getting 2”, and my backyard in the 8-9” range 

lol at this place

10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

At this point I’m just relegating myself to a huge sleet storm and hoping it materializes.. thermals looked cooked one way or the other even down right along the blue ridge on 81. Was really hoping for more from this. 

lol it's Tuesday. 

1 minute ago, SnowDreamer said:

Brutal. DCA gets a dusting and Leesburg gets a foot. 

the line is going to waffle back and forth as we get closer. everyone should know their climo in these situations and go from there. 

i dont understand the whiplash in the storm thread. 

8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Haha. Didnt know that. Can you imagine the temper tantrum he threw when that happened?

Good riddance 

A friendly reminder, we have a banter thread 

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

phrasing lmao

An awful joke imo

11 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

you guys are going to be a hot mess if you lean on the OP runs this much. follow the ensembles. I wouldn't even say there's been a trend towards one solution or the other, we have another model cycle before anything like that can be said

The emotional swings every 6hrs is fascinating to watch though. 

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Lot of action in the long range thread given we cancelled winter yesterday morning.

It’s a Christmas miracle! 

1 minute ago, snowfan said:

Maybe your analysis was incorrect.

8 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Jesus Christ lol. Fuck it.. I'm taking the Bob Chill route and going to enjoy the weather regardless. I love hiking. Looks like great weather for some long day hikes this month. I love growing weed in my greenhouse. Looks like perfect weather for keeping the electric bill lower.

You’re getting it! Welcome to sanity lol

15 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

He. Posted. That. Discussion. Off. The. WEEKLY CONTROL 

Friend, you’re wasting so much time and emotion on someone who isn’t worth it. Put him on ignore. 

9 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

You've reached a healthy point with this...I kinda envy you, lol I'd love to get to the point where it not snowing in winter no longer bothers me in the slightest! (Although recently I am finding not dwelling on it too much to be helpful...the more you expose your mind to it the worse it gets! I'm trying, but days like to today show me I've still got a ways to go)

It’s just snow. Not worth the wild swings of doom and gloom, or the hours spent over analyzing ens for 10+ days pattern changes. A lot more in life to spend the time and energy on imo.