Stormlover74

So basically the models that had the narrow band did fine then. We were mostly going off 10 or possibly 15:1. Nobody expected 20 or 30:1 which ultimately made the difference between 6 and 12"

It's melting like a 50 degree day in april

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

I’ll remember this epic band for a while 

The great weenie band bust of 2024

Reminds me of a more intense version of the 2/8/94 storm. 2 to 4 for most but a narrow band along 78/80 of 8 to 12. Not as narrow as this one though

4 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

We still have a long way to go here in NYC to reach 2022 level. That January 2022 blizzard allowed for an 18-22” season total across NYC. We still have about 10” to go over here until we reach that amount. 

Yeah I only got 6 from that. 19 on the season

6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Amazing how much our winter changed with this one week. About 14 inches for me between the two storms so our area went from way below average snowfall to now about average for the season. Awesome week! 

Yeah I think I just surpassed 2021-22 and I still we can see more before it's all said and done

Just now, MJO812 said:

It did

Had the band just under NYC

The fact it even showed a band is amazing but to almost nail it. It was only that one run though then it kinda lost it at 0z

2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

You would hope what is supposed to be a highly skilled short range model like HRRR would be able to pick up on something like this, but no. Late last night it was still insisting only a few inches. 

The 18z gfs did better lol

They left my report out for some reason

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=okx&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Crazy. Can't believe I got 8 inches here when we were only expecting a few. This winter went from being terrible to not bad in the snowfall department for our area this week. 

Yeah when I stepped outside I couldn't believe it was that much.  I figured 4 or 5 eyeballing it. That's why you always need to get out there with the ruler

This was sort of like trying to forecast rainfall amounts in a thunderstorm except most people have no idea if they got half an inch or 1". If most people get a thunderstorm and some don't it's certainly not a bust.

But with snow if you're not in that range people will say bust. But how do you forecast for this? Most people saw 2 to 4 but some saw 3x as much nearby. You can't just say 2 to 10 or 2 to 4 with isolated amounts of 8 to 12

1 minute ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

The universe always evens it out somehow lol

Seems that way. This winter will have a very strange looking snowfall distribution though 

Has central park made it to double digits yet?

1 minute ago, weathermedic said:

Just measured 8 inches on the picnic table here in Sheepshead Bay Brooklyn. We just got into the northern fringe of that heavy band overnight.

Same. By less than 3 miles I got 8 instead of 3

1 minute ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Interesting that the temps stayed at freezing in the city itself,but ratios went up as you went north even with less qpf. Im kinda shocked because there is almost 3 inches of fluff outside and its still snowing. Temps were 28-29 here whole time.

Ratios were very high in that band as well. 

3 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

or it’s still 32° in Central Park and never got back to the 20s as forecasted. 

 

It will be interesting to see what the totals will be in central Park today versus the airports

We already know. 2"

Nice final band coming through.  Maybe an additional half inch

5 minutes ago, North and West said:

I agree, and I think that’s my point. They’re a good guide, but imperfect.


.

Almost impossible to forecast because it's a nowcast situation so mt holly couldn't really forecast 2 to 4 locally 10

8 on the dot

Fox in the snow

Should probably be a warning here but I realize it's pretty localized to the southern part of union judging by the radar the past few hours

Just woke up. Gorgeous out. Eyeballing 3 to 4 but hard to tell. Didn't quite get under the allsnow band

Very light snow and 34

3 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Tomer Burg says the northern band of snow is dying out as the southern band takes control and strengthens, which would lead to a dry slot north of Trenton. Concerning if it happens.

So the area he had getting 5 to 7? Lol

2 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

Snowing in the Harrisburg area.  Looks like visibility’s come down fairly quickly with the onset of precip.

I just don't see that area and along the M/D line only getting 1 to 3 unless all the heavier echoes go northeast