I seem to recall a similar situation in MLK day in 2000. Very strong arctic blast only temps were supposed to be in the low 20s and we struggled to get above 10 most of the day
After this event many will have cashed in both to our South and North and we've had plenty to track. Our truly awful winters have seen an overall lack of storms and it was clear mid way through that it would be an early spring. Right now we don't see signs of that at least for the next few weeks so if we don't cash in it will be due to just really bad luck