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cheese007

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  1. Mesoscale Discussion 0421
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       1023 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023
    
       Areas affected...northern Mississippi
    
       Concerning...Tornado Watch 97...99...
    
       Valid 010323Z - 010530Z
    
       The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 97, 99 continues.
    
       SUMMARY...Severe risk continues. Tornado environment is becoming
       more favorable across northern Mississippi.
    
       DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms moving across the
       Arkansas/Mississippi border is tracking eastward into an environment
       becoming favorable for strong tornadoes. VAD profiles from DGX
       (Brandon, MS) and GWX (Columbus Air Force Base) show low-level shear
       has increased to around 400-700 m2/s2 as the nocturnal low-level jet
       has strengthened. Surface objective analysis indicates SBCAPE around
       1000-1500 J/kg ahead of the advancing line of storms. Expect the
       storms moving in from the west to organize with increasing threat of
       strong tornadoes over the next few hours.
    
       ..Thornton/Edwards.. 04/01/2023
    
       ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
       ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...
    
       LAT...LON   33879128 34389079 34879013 35008961 34978912 34958876
                   34798849 34428840 34188847 34018860 33788872 33548894
                   33408922 33308955 33318984 33349025 33359060 33499103
                   33579118 33879128 

    mcd0421 (1).png

  2. And now AR

    Tornado Warning

    Tornado Warning
    ARC019-051-059-097-105-109-311815-
    /O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0035.230331T1741Z-230331T1815Z/
    
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Little Rock AR
    1241 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023
    
    The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a
    
    * Tornado Warning for...
      Northwestern Clark County in southwestern Arkansas...
      Southwestern Perry County in central Arkansas...
      Northwestern Pike County in southwestern Arkansas...
      Garland County in central Arkansas...
      Southeastern Montgomery County in western Arkansas...
      West central Hot Spring County in southwestern Arkansas...
    
    * Until 115 PM CDT.
    
    * At 1240 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
      tornado was located near Daisy, or 13 miles east of Umpire, moving
      northeast at 60 mph.
    
      HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.
    
      SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
    
      IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
               shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
               Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
               damage is likely.
    
    * Locations impacted include...
      Hot Springs...                    Glenwood...
      Mountain Pine...                  Norman...
      Daisy...                          Hot Springs Memorial Field...
      Meyers...                         Lake Ouachita State Park...
      Lofton...                         Rockwell...
      Hot Springs National Park...      Daisy State Park...
      Avant...                          Oaklawn Racetrack...
      Bonnerdale...                     Mt Tabor...
      Sunshine...                       Lodi...
      Langley...                        Royal...
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
    floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
    mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
    and protect yourself from flying debris.
    
    &&
    
    LAT...LON 3420 9387 3429 9391 3483 9318 3445 9296
    TIME...MOT...LOC 1740Z 238DEG 52KT 3429 9381
    
    TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
    MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
    
    $$
    
    53
  3. And now AR

    Tornado Warning

    Tornado Warning
    ARC019-051-059-097-105-109-311815-
    /O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0035.230331T1741Z-230331T1815Z/
    
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Little Rock AR
    1241 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023
    
    The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a
    
    * Tornado Warning for...
      Northwestern Clark County in southwestern Arkansas...
      Southwestern Perry County in central Arkansas...
      Northwestern Pike County in southwestern Arkansas...
      Garland County in central Arkansas...
      Southeastern Montgomery County in western Arkansas...
      West central Hot Spring County in southwestern Arkansas...
    
    * Until 115 PM CDT.
    
    * At 1240 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
      tornado was located near Daisy, or 13 miles east of Umpire, moving
      northeast at 60 mph.
    
      HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.
    
      SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
    
      IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
               shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
               Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
               damage is likely.
    
    * Locations impacted include...
      Hot Springs...                    Glenwood...
      Mountain Pine...                  Norman...
      Daisy...                          Hot Springs Memorial Field...
      Meyers...                         Lake Ouachita State Park...
      Lofton...                         Rockwell...
      Hot Springs National Park...      Daisy State Park...
      Avant...                          Oaklawn Racetrack...
      Bonnerdale...                     Mt Tabor...
      Sunshine...                       Lodi...
      Langley...                        Royal...
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
    floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
    mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
    and protect yourself from flying debris.
    
    &&
    
    LAT...LON 3420 9387 3429 9391 3483 9318 3445 9296
    TIME...MOT...LOC 1740Z 238DEG 52KT 3429 9381
    
    TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
    MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
    
    $$
    
    53
    
  4. It begins

    Tornado Warning
    IAC039-053-159-175-311830-
    /O.NEW.KDMX.TO.W.0001.230331T1740Z-230331T1830Z/
    
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Des Moines IA
    1240 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023
    
    The National Weather Service in Des Moines  has issued a
    
    * Tornado Warning for...
      Northern Decatur County in south central Iowa...
      Southeastern Union County in south central Iowa...
      Eastern Ringgold County in south central Iowa...
      Southwestern Clarke County in south central Iowa...
    
    * Until 130 PM CDT.
    
    * At 1240 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
      tornado was located 5 miles northwest of Hatfield, or 8 miles south
      of Mount Ayr, moving northeast at 50 mph.
    
      HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.
    
      SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
    
      IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
               shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
               Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
               damage is likely.
    
    * This dangerous storm will be near...
      Mt Ayr Municipal Airport around 1245 PM CDT.
      Kellerton around 1255 PM CDT.
      Beaconsfield around 100 PM CDT.
    
    Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include Sun
    Valley Lake, Grand River, Decatur City and Van Wert.
    
    This includes Interstate 35 between mile markers 12 and 25.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
    floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
    mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
    and protect yourself from flying debris.
    
    &&
    
    LAT...LON 4100 9393 4081 9365 4057 9411 4057 9436
    TIME...MOT...LOC 1740Z 223DEG 42KT 4059 9420
    
    TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
    MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
    
    $$
    
    Hagenhoff
  5. It begins

    Tornado Warning
    IAC039-053-159-175-311830-
    /O.NEW.KDMX.TO.W.0001.230331T1740Z-230331T1830Z/
    
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Des Moines IA
    1240 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023
    
    The National Weather Service in Des Moines  has issued a
    
    * Tornado Warning for...
      Northern Decatur County in south central Iowa...
      Southeastern Union County in south central Iowa...
      Eastern Ringgold County in south central Iowa...
      Southwestern Clarke County in south central Iowa...
    
    * Until 130 PM CDT.
    
    * At 1240 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
      tornado was located 5 miles northwest of Hatfield, or 8 miles south
      of Mount Ayr, moving northeast at 50 mph.
    
      HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.
    
      SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
    
      IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
               shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
               Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
               damage is likely.
    
    * This dangerous storm will be near...
      Mt Ayr Municipal Airport around 1245 PM CDT.
      Kellerton around 1255 PM CDT.
      Beaconsfield around 100 PM CDT.
    
    Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include Sun
    Valley Lake, Grand River, Decatur City and Van Wert.
    
    This includes Interstate 35 between mile markers 12 and 25.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
    floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
    mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
    and protect yourself from flying debris.
    
    &&
    
    LAT...LON 4100 9393 4081 9365 4057 9411 4057 9436
    TIME...MOT...LOC 1740Z 223DEG 42KT 4059 9420
    
    TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
    MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
    
    $$
    
    Hagenhoff
  6. 90/90 tor probs
    
    SEL4
    
       URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
       Tornado Watch Number 94
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       1230 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023
    
       The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
       * Tornado Watch for portions of 
         Much of Arkansas
         Southern Illinois
         Western Kentucky
         Southern Missouri
         Northwest Mississippi
         West Tennessee
         Northeast Texas
    
       * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM until
         800 PM CDT.
    
       ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
    
       * Primary threats include...
         Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
         Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
           inches in diameter likely
         Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
    
       SUMMARY...Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
       spread across the mid Mississippi Valley region this afternoon and
       early evening.  Supercells capable of damaging tornadoes, large
       hail, and damaging winds are all possible.  Parameters are
       sufficiently favorable for the risk of strong/violent tornadoes.
    
       The tornado watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles
       east and west of a line from 30 miles east southeast of El Dorado AR
       to 5 miles northwest of Saint Louis MO. For a complete depiction of
       the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
       WOU4).
    
       PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
       REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
       tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
       area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
       threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
       and possible warnings.
    
       &&
    
       OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93...
    
       AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
       surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
       gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
       storm motion vector 25035.
    
       ...Hart

     

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