cheese007

Winter storm watch up for western north Texas. May get a dusting in DFW area. Don't want to get my hopes up too much though

I'd be happy with a dusting at this point, ecstatic for a half inch

Fort Worth office mentioned possibility of snow late Thursday/early Friday if temps are cooler than expected. Skeptical but intrigued

Really hope this year is not like last year with all the cold rain

Kinda shocked that DFW and areas west got includes tbh

Enhanced risk dropped for most of DFW, no more sig hail hatched area either. However a 10% hqtched for sig tors now exists in the ArkLaTex

So like the last few years

As if DFW needs any more hail after the past couple years

Enhanced risk upgrade extending from Dallas into the ArkLaTex

Yep it was the Wednesday event! Just wasn't seeing it discussed anywhere else so was curious

Where are you seeing this info?

People probably waiting for winter to come back

I made a thread about the event. It's a couple posts below this topic

Not sure where to put this as it spans multiple subforums but a significant portion of the activity is in AR and LA SPC discussion and risk maps: ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020907 SPC AC 020907 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0407 AM CDT Fri Nov 02 2018 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... Potential exists for a significant severe event to transpire day 4 (Monday) into day 5 (Tuesday) mainly from the lower MS Valley into the Southeast States. Model solutions have converged and demonstrated run to run consistency, depicting significant cyclogenesis to commence by Monday evening over the lower MS Valley in response to an approaching intense upper jet within base of an amplifying shortwave trough. The low is forecast to deepen as it lifts northeast into IL overnight with trailing cold front advancing through the TN and lower MS valley regions. Richer low-level moisture residing over the northern Gulf will advect rapidly northward through the warm sector in response to the strengthening low-level jet, contributing to destabilization with moderate instability possible from east TX into a portion of the Gulf Coast states. Severe storms are likely to develop along advancing cold front Monday afternoon initially from southeast OK into east TX, then spreading into the lower MS Valley and TN Valley regions Monday night. Impressive wind profiles with large hodographs and an intense upper jet will promote a threat for damaging wind, tornadoes and large hail. Severe threat will continue east through portions of the Southeast states and Middle Atlantic Tuesday. ..Dial.. 11/02/2018 CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

Wasn't it last year where models always had some sort of winter storm that was perpetually seven days out that just never came? Though I will say a snowy Halloween would be very fun

Can't help but think this is a Freudian slip given the lack of snow the last few years. Hoping this year is different but the wettest falls are usually followed by well below average snowfall historically so not getting my hopes up

Slight risk for big chunk of TX today. Mainly a wind threat

Handful of tornado warnings today. Unusual for mid October

If anything I hope this footage will serve as a lesson for those who think they can ride out a storm like this

Holy **** the water oh my ****ing god

Is that water on the road on his stream? God I hope not

Those huge trees by the roads are making me nervous re: Brett

Whole lotta debris in those winds

Little worried about the chasers streaming from their cars right in this thing's path in the coast. Does not seem like the brightest idea to me

Some really nasty floodong across TX these past few days. Really something else