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wxdawg10

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Everything posted by wxdawg10

  1. wxdawg10
    paste job triangle SW and NE on EURO. feels like models are all in agreement. Hopefully everyone gets at least a little snow at some point.
  2. wxdawg10
    he's a believer.
  3. wxdawg10
    tbh Huffman and Eric Webb are pretty good for RDU. Robert as well (wxsouth) can't go wrong with any of em
  4. wxdawg10
    Elizabeth Gardner was a Fishel prodigy at WRAL. Ole Gregg still lives on in her. I've been reading her forecast posts for friday and saturday for 3 days and she has tried everything to avoid saying the word snow. Mentioning model solutions that showed rain and freezing rain. Only today do they seem sorta kinda on board.
  5. wxdawg10
    The Euro is not what it used to be..alot of METS will ride and die by the Euro even when it's the outlier. Then again..living in NC we're all too familiar with the prospects of getting burned lol. So i don't really blame him for being a skeptic until more is known
  6. wxdawg10
    thanks for holding on to hope..
  7. wxdawg10
    It's just basically a GFS knockoff. these "inhouse" models are never reliable outside 24hrs.
  8. wxdawg10
    I think Central NC is still in a good spot. If anything, i see the Low trending more east than west the closer we get. I don't think the models have a good grip on the strength of the wedge yet. we shall see. i would hold off on the cliff diving and celebrations no matter where you are. Someone is gonna get crushed and someone is gonna get screwed. This is the nature of SE storms. good luck everyone
  9. wxdawg10
    Due to it's history yes the NAM has been great sniffing out the warm nose. But that doesn't mean it isn't prone to mistakes. The HRRR has a good record too in this time frame. could go either way
  10. wxdawg10
    Posted 11 minutes ago ...Significant Winter Storm to Impact much of Central North Carolinas tonight through Monday... .A developing winter storm will spread heavy snow and ice across central North Carolina tonight and Sunday. Some wintry precipitation may linger Sunday night into Monday prolonging the storm. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow late tonight and Sunday morning, becoming mixed snow and freezing rain Sunday afternoon. A transition to all freezing rain is possible Sunday afternoon. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. Total ice accumulations of up to a quarter inch expected. * WHERE...A corridor of the eastern Piedmont and northwest Sandhills regions of central North Carolina. This includes much of the Triangle area. * WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 7 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is likely to be very difficult Sunday and Sunday night. Even in locations with lesser snow accumulations, the potential for accumulations of snow and freezing rain combined will impact travel. Downed trees and limbs may create significant power outages additional travel hazards. * Temperatures in the upper 20s to around 30 Sunday morning, rising into the lower 30s Sunday afternoon and evening. they pulled the trigger
  11. wxdawg10
    definitely
  12. wxdawg10
    wow
  13. wxdawg10
    if this verifies..new king on the block.
  14. wxdawg10
    i think he meant January 2017. the infamous bust
  15. wxdawg10
    I think Allan mentioned earlier that alot of the moisture will get eaten up by dryer air as it moves into the piedmont and the storm won't really crank until sunday. This might cut some totals and i'm not sure if models take this into account.
  16. wxdawg10
    i think it'll go up the closer we get to the event. radar already looking extremely healthy. that plus the model trends overnight i don't see how they don't.
  17. wxdawg10
    someone posted a link to a really discussion from NWS blacksburg that mentioned the WAA may not be as pronounced as originally modeled for anyone wondering. might be another reason why totals are getting beefed up by the models. might be picking up on it. it'll prob still mix around wake co but more wintry atleast at this point
  18. wxdawg10
    Even the NAM has slowly been trending more southern i think it'll come in line with the other models pretty soon
  19. wxdawg10
    i've never seen such variation for RDU on accumulation maps as i have with this storm..I've seen anywhere from a trace to 9 inches lol. Being a met that covers wake co in the winter has be the hardest thing in the world
  20. wxdawg10
    how far north does the warm nose get?
  21. wxdawg10
    looks like Allan Huffman is going all in on this. RAH still on an island
  22. wxdawg10
    Man would love to see what Robert would have had to say about this storm. The guy was amazing during my lurking days and i learned alot from his discussions
  23. wxdawg10
    Last year's bust is still fresh in their minds. Seems like they're letting NC climo take precedence over model guidance and they won't sound the horn until they know for sure. tbh i don't blame them. But i think they will eventually. Then again there's been storms in the past where i felt like i knew better and was certain we would get a good storm but RAH's forecast of cold rain to trace amounts ended up being right. These guys are skilled mets. we shall see. Insert other media
  24. wxdawg10
    i wonder what he's seeing
  25. wxdawg10
    yeah it's insane. The crazy part is they're still holding back
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