The NAM 12km/GFS favor a track along and to the west of the Connecticut River, UKMET/ECMWF favor a track along the 95 corridor between Providence and Boston, while the GEM favors a track over Nantucket. If this were winter, we`d be stressed over a rain/snow line. While we don`t have that issue, the focus is where the greatest QPF falls, usually northwest of the low. Given the GEM is an outlier, have some confidence the greatest QPF will fall across western southern New England