jbenedet

Agreed. Probably*

Yea I was talking duration. I know they do -10’s. It’s a cold climate. Let’s see if it can -15.

I’m aware. so it is as records go… Will need to look at this in terms of hours sub zero just to scale it.. No idea on the history for Binghamton.It just seems incredibly impressive for this part of the world..

I’m seeing that Binghamton may not crack zero all day tomorrow either. Air temperature…. I don’t know what that means historically but that’s wild to me.

We -NAO Need to be west for the serious cold.

To our west? Yes. West of CT river is probably coldest in a few years. That’s relevant for here. But NY NJ and PA are challenging records.

Somebody’s nervous… NYC is below 6F, by midnight tonight.

Arctic is a big place— 60N +. This is the top of the planet.

Airmass straight outta the North Pole. Sure it’s been sampled very well by the Inuit and polar bears.

It’s gonna be damn near close if it isn’t.

I wouldn’t go that low bc of the wind. My bet is around 0

The record level cold is to our west. It’s run of the mill here. Guidance is still getting colder in NYS. Watch those 850s

Guy is laughing but making direct comparison to February 14 2016… 1) Significant El Niño year. 2) significantly above average month temp wise in northeast. 3) significantly less snowpack in the northeast. 4) the Great Lakes were less than 10% ice covered. Using MOS verbatim for this makes little sense given how cold this year has been vs historical norms.

Also seeing that latest guidance keeps areas like binghamton, Albany and Syracuse NY sub zero all day Saturday… Good luck infrastructure….

Sunday morning looks coldest in NYC metro most have seen in their lives… Once in 50 year level potential with this. 0F in CPK is conservative. The bias is to take UHI and +5 vs guidance but the in situ cold and winds will mitigate those affects. Very relieved personally that the axis of cold is about 250 miles west of here. Binghamton NY flirting with -20F before wind chill is holy shit level cold for our latitude.