Friday is pretty cool to monitor in the sense that it is the persistence scenario but with the jet a few hundred miles further north due to the seasonal tide, it’s not even close to a wintry event for most.
GFS for Friday continues to be way too cold vs everything including the GEFS.
I’m expecting a decent day with warm sector out ahead. Widespread, highs near 50.
I do wonder though, how much of a positive offset —this time of year— is the absence of tree foliage, from our latitude to all points upwind in the northern mid Atlantic.
Of course. Easy to say. Staying up here is a terrible bet. Not sustainable.
That said, I think mid level troughiness on EPS and GEFS at that window is more bark than bite.
Looks like a move from ++AN to AN to N (behind fronts).