jbenedet

Zzzzzzzz

Like this?

EC AIFS and GFS again are worlds apart…

This is the 4th day of 40+… Been a long time…

I could easily see the 18th split the forum like the 12z GFS advertised… But at least we’re looking at legit big storm potential. The synoptic setup is amped.. 977 over Bangor ME giving a hint at the potent setup. Finally something to track

Legit arctic airmass around 18th. But looks like one of them “west is colder than north” type packages. Slight moderation as it swings East after diving south… Boston warmer than Greenville SC type deals… Could be a big deal in places like Atlanta…

The shit solution on the ICON also opens the door to the 18th. Similar to the 6z GFS. That’s the one to watch.

Batten down the hatches folks. 1-3” incoming.

Bc you believe this will be a significant snowstorm? Let’s hear — what’s your call?

Move to the southeast if you want to call an advisory level threat a major snowstorm. By New England standards - this isn’t even a storm at this stage. It’s weather in January.

Can one of the mods put a weenie tag next to the title of this thread?

The GEFS and EPS are still an open wave frontal boundary evolution. The very early mid level cut off over the southeast is just a potent meso vort traversing the boundary. It doesn’t allow for a bend back or strengthening of the already diffuse BZ… So on top of all the limitations—you’re not gonna get the mid level magic out of this either.

That’s where I’m at right now.

I need to see another model blow up H5 like that over the southeast before I bite.

But that looks like the other guidance. Kinda saying the same thing, just differently.