romba
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Everything posted by romba
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Plus RGEM and latest NAM 12k. So basically all the models. RAP and HRRR are still out of range so I wouldn’t put any credence in them, Euro has shifted over to the GFS, which is quite frankly embarrassing. UKIE is useless these days too. NYC proper is pretty much out of it unless 1-3 inches of slop on street corners after an inch+ of rain is what you’re looking for.
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Unless they say cutter or OTS for NYC proper, then 0 wavering
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Yea, and the F doesn’t stand for fail
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Do I say city and immediate area? Not sure what language to use so everyone doesn’t get needlessly pissed off, thanks.
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Metro area lost the CMC
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6z Euro running I’m assuming?
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Hopefully with all the energy on shore the GFS is the start of a positive 12z suite for us city folks
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Vastly different snow maps- Tidbits 10:1 GFS snow map versus Pivotal 10:1
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2 lows, drawing is back in
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so the nyc ppl should be happy for you and you should then likewise be upset for them. ofc everyone cares abt their back yard and will voice their opinions based on that. PBPs should be unbiased (good for interior, poor for city verbatim etc.) but opinions on models runs after that are just that- opinions.
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Don't models generally account for that or do they just spit out mix or sleet if the surface is above freezing even if all other layers are below?
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yea me too, don't buy it though that map is wayyyy overdone imo. Cut in half, and then half again is probably more realistic imby in NENJ on that run lol
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This: Vs same run on pivotal Let's not get out hopes too high off of one crazy weenie map, I think the pivotal is more realistic here
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Compared to 0z Euro is, so far, east and 10 mb weaker Edit: Next frame hr 84 in roughly the same spot but 7mb weaker
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Greater intensification, but weaker rates
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CMC east so far
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Looked like the GFS took another step closer to the Euro. That second eastern low robs some moisture and energy from our area though
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*Puts on Doorman Costume*: Some will win some will lose I choose the former what about you?
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I think he said to start at 10:1 and adjust from there based on temp profiles. Kuchera doesn't account for all heights I believe.
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Canadian hasn’t been quite as good recently, it was the last to cave to GFS on todays hugger
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I'm tired of these Miller Bs and their primary lows that hang on juuuust long enough for us to get a cold rain/mix. Do Miller As exist anymore?
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FIANLLY some weenie maps to gawk at. We've barely even had those this winter- at least I can get my hopes up for a day or two again like back in December.
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40-50% for 1 inch of snow or more the city seems high even for 384 hours, but that could be my negativity speaking
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South, not a bad spot rn.
