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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. I noticed that also. Probably over an inch on my remaining snow pack. About a half an inch on my deck and basically nothing on paved surfaces.
  2. Ended up with .5 here in Smithsburg. A few stray flurries now. The models really nailed it for my yard. Basically was showing a dusting to an inch for days now.
  3. There was almost 2 separate waves next week with the cutter that isn't so much of a cutter anymore. If we can get more separation there's a chance we could get some snow on the tail end of that. Also there was definitely a few waves riding south of us after that. Should be an interesting few weeks. I know everyone loves the blues on the ops but the ensembles have been honking for a while now in this time period.
  4. Starting to accumulate a little better with sunset. Roads are starting to cave in spots. 29 degrees. Light snow. I'm going to call it .25 on anything that isn't paved. Been snowing for 6 hours now to get .25 lol. But any snow is good snow.
  5. Snowing for the last 2 hours or so in Thurmont. Looks nice but completely non accumulating. Nothing even on the grass
  6. The 00z Gfs shows the potential we have if we end up on the right side of the boundary. Tracking something every couple days.
  7. Models have shown this being a coastal scrapper for days now. Of course there's wobbles but the gfs has been pretty darn good for the most part. Same as last weekends storm. Models picked up on that crazy NW track that changed over many to mix/rain 5 days out! Models are by far better than what they were 20 years ago. Unfortunately there will Probably never be another reverse bust like there was in January 2000.
  8. Would be maybe a D grade for my yard. Still another 6 weeks or so of tracking possible but if winter ended today , it would be one of the lowest snow totals I've ever had in Smithsburg in the past 20 years or so. Sitting at about 10 so far. Really happy for areas further east though that has been able to cash in this month.
  9. 18z Gefs. After a warm up next week, definitely looks like some possibilities the second week of February.
  10. Would like to get the front running snow a little north and not get skunked. Return on investment with this storm seems pretty low.
  11. Yep. At this point I'm not expecting much at all. Will gladly take whatever we can get but the front end part of it doesn't look to be as aggressive as it was a few days ago. Hopefully it makes a comeback over the next few runs.
  12. If we can be on the right side of a parade of overrunning events it's alot less nerve racking than hoping for the perfect timing and phase of multiple vorts. You won't get a big dog in this type of pattern we can certainly score light to moderate events. The biggest risk is being on the wrong side of the boundary and seeing PA North getting white while we're wet south of 40n.
  13. Looks like a brief warm up next week then a cool down after that. 6th and 7th keeps popping up on some of the globals. I thinking we may have more than 1 opportunity by the way the ensembles look. (Hopefully)
  14. What's your thoughts on the front end action Friday Afternoon/evening. Models seem to be cutting back on that. Was hoping for a few inches from that but I'm starting to be skeptical of that also.
  15. Definitely. It's a little disappointing models seem to be taking away the front end stuff that us westerners needed to see anything this Friday/ Saturday. You seem to be in a pretty good spot if I have your location right.
  16. Gefs still advertising overrunning events coming at us from the southwest in the long range. Gefs would imply several chances coming up after a brief warm up for a few days next week.
  17. We got nammed. Let's hope one of the varsity models show the same.
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