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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Chris78
    All freaking winter
  2. Chris78
    Problem is by the time it's done trending the Bermuda weenies will be high fiving each other.
  3. Chris78
    It'll change in 6 hours but there is a low that forms along the front south of us that delivers the snow. That is a scenario that can deliver snow to our area. Especially if there's enough separation. But it's 10 days out and will look different in 6 hours.
  4. Chris78
    Happy hour weenie run. Another hit for the following Friday.
  5. Chris78
    I'm liking what the gfs is cooking for Sunday morning. I'll take whatever I can get. Starting to get late.
  6. Chris78
    Was trying to figure out your post.
  7. Chris78
    Politician?
  8. Chris78
    I couldn't agree more. Over the past several years models have gotten so good that you rarely see wholesale changes inside of 4 days anymore. Sure you get noise level changes that might bump your totals some or take some away but if your squarely out of the game at day 4 odds are your out of the game. Works both ways. If your a flush hit at day 4 your probably going to see something even if it trends the wrong way.
  9. Chris78
    Weenie run? Lol. It does show possibilities. Also shows the same issue we've had with systems developing to far offshore. Let's hope we can time something up.
  10. Chris78
    Looks about right.
  11. Chris78
    Temp has been hanging around 37-38 all morning. As stubborn as the GFS was it certainly wasn't right with the cold push it was advertising. A couple days ago it had me at 23 -24 degrees at noon with Freezing rain changing to sleet with a gradual change to snow during the afternoon .
  12. Chris78
    Thanks. 6z was definitely a step back at h5. When I made the post last night I was comparing 0z to 18z. 0z was more amped at h5 compared to 18z. Monday/Tuesday deal is a long shot anyway. Hopefully Valentines day weekend trends In a good way.
  13. Chris78
    If you just looked at h5 you would think the storm would be further west compared to 18z. @Ji In regards to GFS
  14. Chris78
    H5 looked better to me for the Monday /Tuesday deal but it didn't translate to the surface.
  15. Chris78
    Yep. Alot of times it's just luck and randomness that determines the haves and have not.
  16. Chris78
    @WVclimo posted the other day about 35% of climo for his back yard It's not been a good winter so far for the northern/NW crew. We still have another 4 to 6 weeks of good tracking but if we get to the second part of February And still sitting at 35% it's going to be tough to get to climo. Glad the Eastern areas are cashing in though. The last few years have been tough if your a snow lover in the area.
  17. Chris78
    I agree. I'm actually tired of missing out on QPF to the east of me while I'm high and dry. I'm in the mind set of bring this SOB west and let the chips fall. Me and you could probably do okay with a further west track as temps could cooperate where were at. I'd rather have 34 and rain then see another storm off the coast.
  18. Chris78
    Probably another eastern shore storm. Congrats. It is pretty amazing how well your area has been doing in ninas lately though.
  19. Chris78
    It ain't great but it's just about all we have right now. The ice threat is all but gone for the northern crew even on the GFS.
  20. Chris78
    Go back and click through the last 5 runs of the GFS for Tuesday. Substantial changes for Tuesday time frame.
  21. Chris78
    Gfs trying for next Tuesday. Looks a little better at h5 but still needs work.
  22. Chris78
    The Canadian and ukmet still want nothing to do with this. Canadian still has the freezing line up in PA as of 7pm on Friday
  23. Chris78
    The gfs is actually a little colder along the M/D during the day on Friday compared to 18z. Low 20's at 1pm and transitioning to snow after alot of ice. Would be pretty rough travel in Northern MD Friday afternoon and night. 30 degrees freezing rain is one thing. 23 degrees freezing rain is another.
  24. Chris78
    Great win by the caps. Hopefully they're out of their funk. Dominated in Dallas and great win tonight in Pittsburgh. Sorry @yoda.
  25. Chris78
    That really would be a mess along the M/D line. Especially if the gfs temps are correct with mid 20's along the md /pa border by late morning.
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